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New York Mortgage Trust (NASDAQ:NYMT) Shareholders Have Felt Some Pain With A 49% Loss On Their Investment

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT), since the last five years saw the share price fall 74%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 66% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 67% in the last 90 days.

View our latest analysis for New York Mortgage Trust

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

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Looking back five years, both New York Mortgage Trust's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 15% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 23% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The low P/E ratio of 3.21 further reflects this reticence.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGS:NYMT Past and Future Earnings April 20th 2020
NasdaqGS:NYMT Past and Future Earnings April 20th 2020

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of New York Mortgage Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between New York Mortgage Trust's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for New York Mortgage Trust shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 49%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that New York Mortgage Trust shareholders are down 63% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 0.8%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that New York Mortgage Trust is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.