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Why Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Is Soaring Over 10%

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (TSX:GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS), one of the world?s leading makers of performance luxury apparel, released its fiscal 2018 second-quarter earnings results this morning, and its stock has responded by soaring over 10% in early trading. Let?s break down the quarterly results to determine if the stock could continue higher from here and if we should be long-term buyers today.

The results that ignited the rally

Here?s a quick breakdown of 12 of the most notable financial statistics from Canada Goose?s three-month period ended September 30, 2017, compared with the same period in 2016:

Metric

Q2 2018

Q2 2017

Change

Wholesale revenue

$152.07 million

$122.44 million

24.2%

Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) revenue

$20.26 million

$5.50 million

268.4%

Total revenue

$172.33 million

$127.94 million

34.7%

Gross profit

$87.09 million

$59.33 million

46.8%

Gross margin

50.5%

46.4%

410 basis points

Operating income

$48.23 million

$27.67 million

74.3%

Operating margin

28.0%

21.6%

640 basis points

Adjusted EBITDA

$46.40 million

$33.79 million

37.3%

Adjusted EBITDA margin

26.9%

26.4%

50 basis points

Income before income taxes

$44.64 million

$25.23 million

76.9%

Adjusted net income

$32.88 million

$23.74 million

38.5%

Adjusted net income per diluted share (EPS)

$0.29

$0.23

26.1%

Updated outlook on 2018

As a result of the company?s ?stronger than expected? growth, it raised its full-year outlook on fiscal 2018. Here?s a breakdown of its new outlook compared with its previous one:

Metric

New Outlook

Previous Outlook

Annual revenue growth

At least 25%

Mid to high teens

Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion

At least 50 basis points

Flat to modestly expanding

Annual growth in adjusted EPS

At least 35%

Approximately 20%

What should you do with Canada Goose now?

It was a phenomenal quarter overall for Canada Goose, and it posted very strong results for the first half of the fiscal year, with its revenue up 39.6% to $200.54 million, its gross profit up 56.8% to $100.34 million, and its adjusted EPS up 28.6% to $0.18 compared with the first half of fiscal 2017. The company?s second-quarter adjusted EPS also crushed the consensus estimate of analysts, which called for $0.21, so I think the market has responded correctly by sending its stock soaring. Furthermore, I think the stock could continue higher from here, because I think investors will continue to pile in to gain exposure to one of North America?s fastest-growing brands.

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Canada Goose?s stock has rallied more than 30% since I first recommended it in August following its first-quarter earnings release and more than 16% since October 4, and I think it still represents a great long-term investment opportunity, so take a closer look and consider beginning to scale in to a position today.

More reading

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.