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UK growth slows sharply as inflation starts to bite

The economy grew by 0.3pc in the first quarter of 2017, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). - © 2016 Bloomberg Finance LP
The economy grew by 0.3pc in the first quarter of 2017, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). - © 2016 Bloomberg Finance LP

The UK economy slowed sharply in the first three months of the year, in a sign that rising prices have brought the recent growth spurt to an end.

The economy grew by 0.3pc in the first quarter of 2017, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This compares with growth of 0.7pc in the final quarter of 2016, and was below economists' estimates for an expansion of 0.4pc.

It was also the slowest expansion since the first quarter of 2016.

The slowdown was driven by weak growth in Britain's dominant services sector, which expanded by just 0.3pc over the period, compared with growth 0.8pc in the final quarter of last year.

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The ONS noted that there had been "falls in several important consumer-focused industries", including retail sales and hotel stays.

"This was due in part to prices increasing more than spending," it said.

There were also signs of more balanced growth. Production output grew by 0.3pc, driven by a 0.5pc increase in manufacturing, while the construction sector expanded by 0.2pc.

This suggests that while the Brexit-induced drop in the pound has squeezed consumer spending, it has also boosted the competitiveness of British exporters.

Lee Hopley, chief economist at EEF, the manufacturers' organisation, said: "The production related sectors of the economy are forging ahead thanks to an improving global picture and the more competitive pound."

Separate data revealed an even bigger slowdown in the US economy as consumer spending grew at the slowest pace since the financial crisis.

Growth in the world's biggest economy slowed to 0.2pc in the first quarter, following quarterly growth of 0.5pc in the final quarter of 2016. This represents the slowest expansion in three years.

Official figures also showed the French economy expanded by 0.3pc over the same period.

A string of recent economic indicators suggest UK growth will slow further in the coming months as inflation continues to rise. Prices, as measured by the consumer prices index, rose by 2.3pc in the year to March.

Many economists believe inflation will climb to 3pc by the summer.

Alan Clarke, an economist at Scotiabank, said: "To put the pace of growth into context, this is like driving away for the bank holiday weekend, hitting traffic and slowing from 70mph to 30mph - and it is starting to rain.

Official retail sales figures last week showed the biggest quarterly drop in seven years in the first three months of 2016.

Mr Clarke said Friday's growth data were likely to "calm the aspiring hawks" at the Bank of England, which had pencilled in growth of 0.6pc for the first quarter.

A second estimate of GDP, which will show growth in consumer spending and exports, will be released next month.

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