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Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q2 Earnings

TSCO Cover Image
Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q2 Earnings

Rural goods retailer Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) missed analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue up 1.5% year on year to $4.25 billion. It made a GAAP profit of $3.93 per share, improving from its profit of $3.83 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy Tractor Supply? Find out in our full research report.

Tractor Supply (TSCO) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $4.25 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.28 billion (small miss)

  • EPS: $3.93 vs analyst expectations of $3.92 (in line)

  • Company maintained the midpoint of full year same-store sales and revenue, slightly raised full year EPS (updated revenue and EPS guidance below expectations)

  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 36.6%, up from 36.2% in the same quarter last year

  • Free Cash Flow of $467.5 million, down 18.1% from the same quarter last year

  • Locations: 2,459 at quarter end, up from 2,373 in the same quarter last year

  • Same-Store Sales were flat year on year (2.5% in the same quarter last year)

  • Market Capitalization: $28.3 billion

“We are pleased with our second quarter EPS results that were in line with our outlook. My sincere appreciation goes out to our more than 50,000 Team Members for living our Mission and Values every day as we focus on taking care of our customers and each other. The team continued to execute extremely well, upholding the high standards we set for ourselves every day. At the halfway point of the year, we have made significant progress on our Life Out Here strategy. We continue to create more separation between us and our competition, thanks to our Team Members and the meaningful relationships they have with our customers,” said Hal Lawton, President and Chief Executive Officer of Tractor Supply.

Started as a mail-order tractor parts business, Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) is a retailer of general goods such as agricultural supplies, hardware, and pet food for the rural consumer.

Specialty Retail

Some retailers try to sell everything under the sun, while others—appropriately called Specialty Retailers—focus on selling a narrow category and aiming to be exceptional at it. Whether it’s eyeglasses, sporting goods, or beauty and cosmetics, these stores win with depth of product in their category as well as in-store expertise and guidance for shoppers who need it. E-commerce competition exists and waning retail foot traffic impacts these retailers, but the magnitude of the headwinds depends on what they sell and what extra value they provide in their stores.

Sales Growth

Tractor Supply is larger than most consumer retail companies and benefits from economies of scale, giving it an edge over its competitors.

As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 12.4% over the last five years was decent as it opened new stores and grew sales at existing, established stores.

Tractor Supply Total Revenue
Tractor Supply Total Revenue

This quarter, Tractor Supply's revenue grew 1.5% year on year to $4.25 billion, falling short of Wall Street's estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 5% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.

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Same-Store Sales

Tractor Supply's demand within its existing stores has been relatively stable over the last eight quarters but fallen behind the broader consumer retail sector. On average, the company's same-store sales have grown by 1.9% year on year. With positive same-store sales growth amid an increasing physical footprint of stores, Tractor Supply is reaching more customers and growing sales.

Tractor Supply Year On Year Same Store Sales Growth
Tractor Supply Year On Year Same Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, Tractor Supply's year on year same-store sales were flat. By the company's standards, this growth was a meaningful deceleration from the 2.5% year-on-year increase it posted 12 months ago. We'll be watching Tractor Supply closely to see if it can reaccelerate growth.

Key Takeaways from Tractor Supply's Q2 Results

Revenue missed by a small amount, although EPS was in line. While there were some small revisions in full year guidance, revenue and EPS outlook ultimately ended up below expectations. The stock traded down 2.9% to $254.88 immediately following the results.

So should you invest in Tractor Supply right now? When making that decision, it's important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it's free.