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Is It Too Late To Consider Buying AltaGas Ltd. (TSE:ALA)?

AltaGas Ltd. (TSE:ALA), which is in the gas utilities business, and is based in Canada, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSX, rising to highs of CA$20.82 and falling to the lows of CA$17.8. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether AltaGas's current trading price of CA$19.2 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at AltaGas’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for AltaGas

Is AltaGas still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that AltaGas’s ratio of 17.5x is trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy AltaGas today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because AltaGas’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from AltaGas?

TSX:ALA Past and Future Earnings, August 7th 2019
TSX:ALA Past and Future Earnings, August 7th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. In AltaGas’s case, its earnings over the next year are expected to double, indicating an incredibly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ALA’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at ALA? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ALA, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ALA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on AltaGas. You can find everything you need to know about AltaGas in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in AltaGas, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.