Advertisement
Canada markets closed
  • S&P/TSX

    22,308.93
    -66.90 (-0.30%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,222.68
    +8.60 (+0.16%)
     
  • DOW

    39,512.84
    +125.08 (+0.32%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7317
    +0.0006 (+0.08%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.20
    -1.06 (-1.34%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    83,113.84
    -2,877.47 (-3.35%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,260.43
    -97.58 (-7.19%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,366.90
    +26.60 (+1.14%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,059.78
    -13.85 (-0.67%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5040
    +0.0550 (+1.24%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    16,340.87
    -5.40 (-0.03%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    12.55
    -0.14 (-1.10%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,433.76
    +52.41 (+0.63%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,229.11
    +155.13 (+0.41%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6789
    +0.0011 (+0.16%)
     

Should You Think About Buying Bank of Montreal (TSE:BMO) Now?

Bank of Montreal (TSE:BMO) received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the TSX over the last few months. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Bank of Montreal’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Bank of Montreal

What's the opportunity in Bank of Montreal?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 17% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Bank of Montreal today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CA$85.69, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Bank of Montreal’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Bank of Montreal?

TSX:BMO Past and Future Earnings May 28th 2020
TSX:BMO Past and Future Earnings May 28th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Bank of Montreal, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -15%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? BMO seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

ADVERTISEMENT

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BMO for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on BMO should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Bank of Montreal. You can find everything you need to know about Bank of Montreal in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Bank of Montreal, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.