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A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At People's United Financial, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PBCT) P/E Ratio

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the People's United Financial (NASDAQ:PBCT) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for People's United Financial

Does People's United Financial Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 7.93 that sentiment around People's United Financial isn't particularly high. If you look at the image below, you can see People's United Financial has a lower P/E than the average (8.6) in the banks industry classification.

NasdaqGS:PBCT Price Estimation Relative to Market April 3rd 2020
NasdaqGS:PBCT Price Estimation Relative to Market April 3rd 2020

People's United Financial's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with People's United Financial, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

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People's United Financial saw earnings per share decrease by 1.5% last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 8.9% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

People's United Financial's Balance Sheet

Net debt totals a substantial 120% of People's United Financial's market cap. This level of debt justifies a relatively low P/E, so remain cognizant of the debt, if you're comparing it to other stocks.

The Verdict On People's United Financial's P/E Ratio

People's United Financial trades on a P/E ratio of 7.9, which is below the US market average of 12.5. The P/E reflects market pessimism that probably arises from the lack of recent EPS growth, paired with significant leverage. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about People's United Financial over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 11.6 back then to 7.9 today. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than People's United Financial. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.