Advertisement
Canada markets closed
  • S&P/TSX

    21,947.41
    +124.19 (+0.57%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,127.79
    +63.59 (+1.26%)
     
  • DOW

    38,675.68
    +450.02 (+1.18%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7308
    -0.0006 (-0.08%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.99
    -0.96 (-1.22%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    86,315.50
    +4,961.41 (+6.10%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,359.39
    +82.41 (+6.45%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,310.10
    +0.50 (+0.02%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,035.72
    +19.61 (+0.97%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5000
    -0.0710 (-1.55%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    16,156.33
    +315.37 (+1.99%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    13.49
    -1.19 (-8.11%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,213.49
    +41.34 (+0.51%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,236.07
    -37.98 (-0.10%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6787
    -0.0030 (-0.44%)
     

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Tractor Supply Company's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Stock?

Tractor Supply's (NASDAQ:TSCO) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Tractor Supply's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Tractor Supply

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

ADVERTISEMENT

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tractor Supply is:

52% = US$1.1b ÷ US$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.52 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Tractor Supply's Earnings Growth And 52% ROE

First thing first, we like that Tractor Supply has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 19% which is quite remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Tractor Supply was able to see a decent net income growth of 17% over the last five years.

As a next step, we compared Tractor Supply's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 26% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for TSCO? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Tractor Supply Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Tractor Supply has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Besides, Tractor Supply has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 42% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Tractor Supply's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.