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A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At Metalore Resources Limited's (CVE:MET) P/E Ratio

Metalore Resources (CVE:MET) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 46% gain, recovering from prior weakness. However, the annual gain of 2.7% wasn't so impressive.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

Check out our latest analysis for Metalore Resources

Does Metalore Resources Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 10.07 that sentiment around Metalore Resources isn't particularly high. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (12.0) for companies in the oil and gas industry is higher than Metalore Resources's P/E.

TSXV:MET Price Estimation Relative to Market, January 17th 2020
TSXV:MET Price Estimation Relative to Market, January 17th 2020

Its relatively low P/E ratio indicates that Metalore Resources shareholders think it will struggle to do as well as other companies in its industry classification. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

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It's great to see that Metalore Resources grew EPS by 19% in the last year. But earnings per share are down 7.5% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

Metalore Resources's Balance Sheet

With net cash of CA$573k, Metalore Resources has a very strong balance sheet, which may be important for its business. Having said that, at 17% of its market capitalization the cash hoard would contribute towards a higher P/E ratio.

The Bottom Line On Metalore Resources's P/E Ratio

Metalore Resources trades on a P/E ratio of 10.1, which is below the CA market average of 15.9. It grew its EPS nicely over the last year, and the healthy balance sheet implies there is more potential for growth. One might conclude that the market is a bit pessimistic, given the low P/E ratio. What we know for sure is that investors have become more excited about Metalore Resources recently, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 6.9 to 10.1 over the last month. If you like to buy stocks that have recently impressed the market, then this one might be a candidate; but if you prefer to invest when there is 'blood in the streets', then you may feel the opportunity has passed.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. Although we don't have analyst forecasts shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

You might be able to find a better buy than Metalore Resources. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.