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The Red Sea attacks are creating chaos in the global coffee trade

Coffee beans and coffee
Coffee beans and coffeeGetty Images
  • The attacks in the Red Sea are upending coffee trade flows, sources told Bloomberg.

  • Buyers are turning down shipments from Vietnam that pass through the Red Sea, seeking supplies from Brazil instead.

  • Prices have hit 25-year highs, with premium robusta futures have surging more than 30% this month.

As tensions in the Red Sea keep ratcheting higher, the chaos is beginning to seep into different pockets of the market — including the coffee trade.

Trade flows of robusta beans, a variety used in instant coffee, is being upended as shipping costs surge and detours add several days to voyages, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.

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Buyers are turning down shipments from top coffee producer Vietnam, and instead are seeking supplies from Brazil, sources told Bloomberg.

That's because Europe-bound vessels from Vietnam pass through the Red Sea, a key trade lane for the country's coffee exports. In fact, robusta trade through the Red Sea has been disrupted before, when a vessel blocked the Suez Canal in 2021, upending the coffee market.

This time, as the major waterway has become fraught with attacks from Yemen-based Houthi rebels, it's forcing ships to reroute, which makes it more expensive to transport commodities like coffee.

Premium robusta futures have surged more than 30% this month as a result of the trade disruptions. And that's after a shortage of coffee beans in 2023 drove prices up by 60% due to dry weather conditions in Vietnam. The Southeast Asian country accounts for 40% of the world's overall production of the robusta bean, according to Nescafé.

According to the International Coffee Organization, robusta prices reached a 25-year high in December, averaging $1.35 a pound.

The tumult in the Red Sea has raised shipping costs over a whopping 122% since the start of December, according to the Drewry World Container Index.

And in the coffee market, some Vietnamese exporters are seeing freight rates rocket up almost sevenfold to $4,000 per container, sources told Bloomberg.

As the tensions escalate, the maritime ruckus risks triggering another spell of inflation, bringing back pandemic-era supply shocks.

Read the original article on Business Insider