Advertisement
Canada markets closed
  • S&P/TSX

    24,439.08
    -32.09 (-0.13%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,815.26
    -44.59 (-0.76%)
     
  • DOW

    42,740.42
    -324.80 (-0.75%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7261
    +0.0012 (+0.16%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    71.04
    -2.79 (-3.78%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    91,256.86
    +644.98 (+0.71%)
     
  • XRP CAD

    0.74
    -0.01 (-0.87%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,679.40
    +13.80 (+0.52%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,249.82
    +1.18 (+0.05%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.0380
    -0.0600 (-1.46%)
     
  • NASDAQ futures

    20,333.25
    -286.00 (-1.39%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    20.64
    +0.94 (+4.77%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,249.28
    -43.38 (-0.52%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    39,910.55
    +304.75 (+0.77%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6662
    +0.0020 (+0.30%)
     

Premium Brands Holdings (TSE:PBH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk. It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Premium Brands Holdings Corporation (TSE:PBH) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Premium Brands Holdings

What Is Premium Brands Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Premium Brands Holdings had CA$941.1m of debt, at June 2019, which is about the same the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

TSX:PBH Historical Debt, October 10th 2019
TSX:PBH Historical Debt, October 10th 2019

How Healthy Is Premium Brands Holdings's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Premium Brands Holdings had liabilities of CA$394.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$1.34b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$12.0m and CA$354.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$1.37b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Premium Brands Holdings is worth CA$3.50b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Premium Brands Holdings's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.0 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Premium Brands Holdings grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Premium Brands Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Premium Brands Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Premium Brands Holdings's interest cover and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But it seems to be able to grow its EBIT without much trouble. We think that Premium Brands Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. Given our hesitation about the stock, it would be good to know if Premium Brands Holdings insiders have sold any shares recently. You click here to find out if insiders have sold recently.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.