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Paysign, Inc. Just Beat Revenue By 6.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Paysign, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYS) last week reported its latest first-quarter results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of US$0.01 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of US$13m came in 6.0% ahead of analyst predictions. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Paysign

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Following the latest results, Paysign's four analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$56.9m in 2024. This would be a decent 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to dive 66% to US$0.045 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$55.7m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.047 in 2024. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on Paysign after the latest results; whilethe analysts lifted revenue numbers, they also administered a minor downgrade to per-share earnings expectations.

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There's been no major changes to the price target of US$5.75, suggesting that the impact of higher forecast revenue and lower earnings won't result in a meaningful change to the business' valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Paysign analyst has a price target of US$6.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$5.50. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Paysign's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 18% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 11% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 3.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Paysign is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Paysign analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Paysign you should know about.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.