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Oil Edges Up While Cloudy Outlook Keeps Prices Locked in Range

(Bloomberg) -- Oil edged higher as signs of a tighter market vied with decreased geopolitical risks to keep prices locked in a narrow band.

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West Texas Intermediate settled above $79 a barrel, after spending the day fluctuating within the roughly $3 range that has bound prices since May 2. While still up for the year, crude began a downward arc in mid-April amid signs of easing tensions in the Middle East. Illustrating the weakening sentiment, money managers last week reduced their combined net-long positions on Brent and WTI by the most in five months.

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Iraq sent mixed signals over the weekend on the path for its production, first saying that it had cut enough and wouldn’t agree to more. Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul Ghani later reversed course, saying the country would stick to whatever the group decided. OPEC next meets June 1.

Until then, oil traders are looking ahead to a data-heavy week. In addition to monthly reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency, there will also be inflation figures in the coming days that will shape views of the US Federal Reserve’s trajectory on interest rates.

Chinese credit and inflation data over the weekend showed the government struggling to boost demand in the world’s top crude importer, while a series of planned long-term sovereign bond sales point toward authorities seeking to do more to aid growth and support energy consumption. US equities have also edged higher, contributing to crude’s gains.

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