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Is There Now An Opportunity In Trecora Resources (NYSE:TREC)?

Trecora Resources (NYSE:TREC), which is in the chemicals business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NYSE, rising to the highs of $15.45 and falling to the lows of $12.6. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Trecora Resources’s current trading price of $13.32 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Trecora Resources’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Trecora Resources

What’s the opportunity in Trecora Resources?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 13.64% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Trecora Resources today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $11.72, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Trecora Resources’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Trecora Resources generate?

NYSE:TREC Future Profit October 6th 18
NYSE:TREC Future Profit October 6th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Though in the case of Trecora Resources, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -13%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, TREC appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TREC for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on TREC should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Trecora Resources. You can find everything you need to know about Trecora Resources in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Trecora Resources, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.