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No Surprises In NXP Semiconductors's (NASDAQ:NXPI) Q2 Sales Numbers But Stock Drops

NXPI Cover Image
No Surprises In NXP Semiconductors's (NASDAQ:NXPI) Q2 Sales Numbers But Stock Drops

Chip manufacturer NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI) reported results in line with analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue down 5.2% year on year to $3.13 billion. On the other hand, next quarter's revenue guidance of $3.25 billion was less impressive, coming in 2.8% below analysts' estimates. It made a non-GAAP profit of $3.20 per share, improving from its profit of $2.67 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy NXP Semiconductors? Find out in our full research report.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $3.13 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.12 billion (small beat)

  • Adjusted Operating Income: $1.07 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.06 billion (small beat)

  • EPS (non-GAAP): $3.20 vs analyst expectations of $3.20 (in line)

  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2024 is $3.25 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $3.34 billion

  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 57.3%, in line with the same quarter last year

  • Inventory Days Outstanding: 146, up from 143 in the previous quarter

  • Free Cash Flow of $577 million, similar to the previous quarter

  • Market Capitalization: $68.85 billion

“NXP delivered quarterly revenue of $3.13 billion, consistent with our guidance, with all our focus end-markets performing in-line with our expectations. With our second quarter results and guidance for the third quarter NXP has successfully navigated the cyclical trough in our businesses and we expect to resume sequential growth. We continue to manage what is in our control enabling NXP to drive resilient profitability and earnings in a challenging demand environment,” said Kurt Sievers, NXP President and Chief Executive Officer.

Spun off from Dutch electronics giant Philips in 2006, NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI) is a designer and manufacturer of chips used in autos, industrial manufacturing, mobile devices, and communications infrastructure.

Analog Semiconductors

Demand for analog chips is generally linked to the overall level of economic growth, as analog chips serve as the building blocks of most electronic goods and equipment. Unlike digital chip designers, analog chip makers tend to produce the majority of their own chips, as analog chip production does not require expensive leading edge nodes. Less dependent on major secular growth drivers, analog product cycles are much longer, often 5-7 years.

Sales Growth

NXP Semiconductors's revenue growth over the last three years has been unremarkable, averaging 10.3% annually. This quarter, its revenue declined from $3.30 billion in the same quarter last year to $3.13 billion. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions (which can sometimes offer opportune times to buy).

NXP Semiconductors Total Revenue
NXP Semiconductors Total Revenue

This was a slow quarter for the company as its revenue dropped 5.2% year on year, in line with analysts' estimates.

NXP Semiconductors's revenue inverted from positive to negative growth this quarter, which was unfortunate to see. Looking ahead to the next quarter, the company's management team forecasts a 5.4% year-on-year revenue decline. On the other hand, analysts expect revenue to turn positive over the next 12 months, with average estimates of 5% growth.

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Product Demand & Outstanding Inventory

Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is an important metric for chipmakers, as it reflects a business' capital intensity and the cyclical nature of semiconductor supply and demand. In a tight supply environment, inventories tend to be stable, allowing chipmakers to exert pricing power. Steadily increasing DIO can be a warning sign that demand is weak, and if inventories continue to rise, the company may have to downsize production.

NXP Semiconductors Inventory Days Outstanding
NXP Semiconductors Inventory Days Outstanding

This quarter, NXP Semiconductors's DIO came in at 146, which is 40 days above its five-year average, suggesting that the company's inventory has grown to higher levels than we've seen in the past.

Key Takeaways from NXP Semiconductors's Q2 Results

We struggled to find many strong positives in these results. Its revenue guidance for next quarter missed analysts' expectations and its inventory levels slightly increased. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 7% to $263.99 immediately following the results.

NXP Semiconductors may have had a tough quarter, but does that actually create an opportunity to invest right now? When making that decision, it's important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it's free.