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What You Must Know About OncoMed Pharmaceuticals Inc’s (OMED) Risks

For OncoMed Pharmaceuticals Inc’s (NASDAQ:OMED) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of OMED. The first type is company-specific risk, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies to reduce exposure to one particular stock. The second type is market risk, one that you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks in the market.

Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk. A widely-used metric to measure a stock's market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

See our latest analysis for OMED

What is OMED’s market risk?

With a beta of 2.78, OncoMed Pharmaceuticals is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. Based on this beta value, OMED will help diversify your portfolio, if it currently comprises of low-beta stocks. This will be beneficial for portfolio returns, in particular, when current market sentiment is positive.

NasdaqGS:OMED Income Statement Sep 29th 17
NasdaqGS:OMED Income Statement Sep 29th 17

Could OMED's size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

A market capitalisation of USD $171.22M puts OMED in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. However, OMED operates in the biotechnology industry, which has commonly demonstrated muted reactions to market-wide shocks. Therefore, investors can expect a high beta associated with the size of OMED, but a lower beta given the nature of the industry it operates in. It seems as though there is an inconsistency in risks from OMED’s size and industry. A potential driver of this variance can be a fundamental factor, which we will take a look at next.

Is OMED's cost structure indicative of a high beta?

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test OMED’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company's overall assets, OMED seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. Thus, we can expect OMED to be more stable in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a higher portion of fixed assets on their books. However, this is the opposite to what OMED’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You may reap the gains of OMED's returns during times of economic growth by holding the stock. Its low fixed cost also implies that it has the flexibility to adjust its cost to preserve margins during times of a downturn. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before deciding to invest more into OMED.

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Are you a potential investor? I recommend that you look into OMED's fundamental factors such as its current valuation and financial health. Take into account your portfolio sensitivity to the market before you invest in the stock, as well as where we are in the current economic cycle. OMED may be a great investment during times of economic growth.

Beta is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on OncoMed Pharmaceuticals for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. But if you are not interested in OncoMed Pharmaceuticals anymore, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.