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What You Must Know About KemPharm, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:KMPH) Beta Value

Anyone researching KemPharm, Inc. (NASDAQ:KMPH) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk’ in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

Check out our latest analysis for KemPharm

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What we can learn from KMPH’s beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.33, we can surmise that the KemPharm share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, KemPharm shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Share price volatility is well worth considering, but most long term investors consider the history of revenue and earnings growth to be more important. Take a look at how KemPharm fares in that regard, below.

NasdaqGM:KMPH Income Statement Export January 21st 19
NasdaqGM:KMPH Income Statement Export January 21st 19

How does KMPH’s size impact its beta?

KemPharm is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of US$70m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Since KemPharm has a reasonably high beta, it’s worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it’s well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as KemPharm’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for KMPH’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for KMPH’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has KMPH been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of KMPH’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how KMPH measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.