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What Makes 1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ:SRCE) A Hard Investment?

1st Source Corporation’s (NASDAQ:SRCE) profitability and risk are largely affected by the underlying economic growth for the region it operates in US given it is a small-cap stock with a market capitalisation of US$1.2b. Given that banks operate by reinvesting deposits in the form of loans, negative economic growth may lower the level of saving deposits and demand for loans, directly affecting those banks’ levels of cash flows. After the Financial Crisis in 2008, a set of reforms called Basel III was created with the purpose of strengthening regulation, risk management and supervision in the banking sector. These reforms target bank level regulation and aims to improve the banking sector’s ability to absorb shocks arising from economic stress which could expose financial institutions to vulnerabilities. Unpredictable macro events such as political instability could weaken its financial position which is why it is important to understand how well the bank manages its risk levels. Sufficient liquidity and low levels of leverage could place the bank in a safe place in case of unexpected macro headwinds. Today we will be measuring 1st Source’s financial risk position by looking at three leverage and liquidity metrics.

View our latest analysis for 1st Source

NasdaqGS:SRCE Historical Debt, April 25th 2019
NasdaqGS:SRCE Historical Debt, April 25th 2019

Is SRCE's Leverage Level Appropriate?

A low level of leverage subjects a bank to less risk and enhances its ability to pay back its debtors. Leverage can be thought of as the amount of assets a bank owns relative to its shareholders’ funds. Though banks are required to have a certain level of buffer to meet its capital requirements, 1st Source’s leverage level of 8.17x is very safe and substantially below the maximum limit of 20x. This means the bank has a sensibly high level of equity compared to the level of debt it has taken on to maintain operations which places it in a strong position to pay back its debt in unforeseen circumstances. If the bank needs to increase its debt levels to firm up its capital cushion, there is plenty of headroom to do so without deteriorating its financial position.

How Should We Measure SRCE's Liquidity?

Handing Money Transparent
Handing Money Transparent

As I alluded to above, loans are relatively illiquid. It’s helpful to understand how much of this illiquid asset makes up 1st Source’s total asset. Normally, they should not exceed 70% of total assets, however its current level of 76% means the bank has lent out 5.63% above the sensible threshold. This level implies dependency on this particular asset class as a source of revenue which makes the bank more exposed to default compared to banks with less loans.

What is SRCE's Liquidity Discrepancy?

Banks operate by lending out its customers’ deposits as loans and charge a higher interest rate. These loans may be fixed term and often cannot be readily realized, conversely, on the liability side, customer deposits must be paid in very short notice and on-demand. This mismatch between illiquid loans and liquid deposits poses a risk for the bank if unusual events occur and requires it to immediately repay its depositors. Relative to the prudent industry loan to deposit level of 90%, 1st Source’s ratio of over 94% is higher, which places the bank in a relatively dangerous territory to go into negative discrepancy in liquidity. Essentially, for $1 of deposits with the bank, it lends out more than $0.9 which is risky.

Next Steps:

Today, we've only explored one aspect of 1st Source. However, as a potential stock investment, there are many more fundamentals you need to consider. I've put together three relevant aspects you should further examine:

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  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for SRCE’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for SRCE’s outlook.

  2. Valuation: What is SRCE worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SRCE is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.