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Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) Posts Q2 Sales In Line With Estimates

KDP Cover Image
Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) Posts Q2 Sales In Line With Estimates

Beverage company Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) reported results in line with analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue up 3.5% year on year to $3.92 billion. It made a non-GAAP profit of $0.45 per share, improving from its profit of $0.42 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy Keurig Dr Pepper? Find out in our full research report.

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $3.92 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.92 billion (small beat)

  • EPS (non-GAAP): $0.45 vs analyst expectations of $0.45 (in line)

  • KDP reaffirmed its fiscal 2024 guidance for constant currency net sales growth in a mid-single-digit range and Adjusted diluted EPS growth in a high-single-digit range

  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 55.4%, up from 53.9% in the same quarter last year

  • Free Cash Flow of $742 million is up from -$73 million in the previous quarter

  • Sales Volumes were flat year on year (2.1% in the same quarter last year)

  • Market Capitalization: $44.42 billion

Commenting on the quarter, CEO Tim Cofer stated, "Our second quarter results were healthy, with accelerating net sales trends, significant margin expansion, and solid EPS growth. Strong execution drove our performance, as we continued to advance our long-term strategic agenda. Our consumer-centric innovation model is resonating in market, our portfolio expansion to higher growth categories is ongoing, and we are actively enhancing an already robust route-to-market — all underpinned by an unrelenting focus on cost efficiency and capital discipline. Now halfway through 2024, we are on track to achieve our unchanged full year outlook, while also seeding initiatives to fuel consistent growth over multiple years."

Born out of a 2018 merger between coffee company Keurig Green Mountain and beverage company Dr Pepper Snapple, Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) boasts a powerhouse portfolio of beverages.

Beverages and Alcohol

These companies' performance is influenced by brand strength, marketing strategies, and shifts in consumer preferences. Changing consumption patterns are particularly relevant and can be seen in the explosion of alcoholic craft beer drinks or the steady decline of non-alcoholic sugary sodas. Companies that spend on innovation to meet consumers where they are with regards to trends can reap huge demand benefits while those who ignore trends can see stagnant volumes. Finally, with the advent of the social media, the cost of starting a brand from scratch is much lower, meaning that new entrants can chip away at the market shares of established players.

Sales Growth

Keurig Dr Pepper is one of the larger consumer staples companies and benefits from a well-known brand, giving it customer mindshare and influence over purchasing decisions.

As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 7.3% over the last three years was decent for a consumer staples business.

Keurig Dr Pepper Total Revenue
Keurig Dr Pepper Total Revenue

This quarter, Keurig Dr Pepper grew its revenue by 3.5% year on year, and its $3.92 billion in revenue was in line with Wall Street's estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 3.9% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.

Here at StockStory, we certainly understand the potential of thematic investing. Diverse winners from Microsoft (MSFT) to Alphabet (GOOG), Coca-Cola (KO) to Monster Beverage (MNST) could all have been identified as promising growth stories with a megatrend driving the growth. So, in that spirit, we’ve identified a relatively under-the-radar profitable growth stock benefitting from the rise of AI, available to you FREE via this link.

Volume Growth

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful staples business as there’s a ceiling to what consumers will pay for everyday goods; they can always trade down to non-branded products if the branded versions are too expensive.

Keurig Dr Pepper's quarterly sales volumes have, on average, stayed about the same over the last two years. This stability is normal because the quantity demanded for consumer staples products typically doesn't see much volatility.

Keurig Dr Pepper Year-On-Year Volume Growth
Keurig Dr Pepper Year-On-Year Volume Growth

In Keurig Dr Pepper's Q2 2024, year on year sales volumes were flat. By the company's standards, this result was a meaningful deceleration from the 2.1% year-on-year increase it posted 12 months ago. We'll be watching Keurig Dr Pepper closely to see if it can reaccelerate demand for its products.

Key Takeaways from Keurig Dr Pepper's Q2 Results

That this quarter lacked surprises was a good thing (the market tends to reward steady performance). Revenue was in line, EPS beat by a bit, and the company maintained its full year guidance for sales and EPS. This shows that things are squarely on track for Keurig Dr Pepper. The stock traded up 3.7% to $33.99 immediately following the results.

So should you invest in Keurig Dr Pepper right now? When making that decision, it's important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it's free.