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Investors Who Bought Calibre Mining (CVE:CXB) Shares Three Years Ago Are Now Down 60%

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. Long term Calibre Mining Corp. (CVE:CXB) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Sadly for them, the share price is down 60% in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 31% in the last year. It's down 7.7% in the last seven days.

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View our latest analysis for Calibre Mining

Calibre Mining hasn't yet reported any revenue yet, so it's as much a business idea as an actual business. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. For example, investors may be hoping that Calibre Mining finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

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Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Calibre Mining has already given some investors a taste of the bitter losses that high risk investing can cause.

Calibre Mining had cash in excess of all liabilities of just CA$3.8m when it last reported (December 2018). So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. That probably explains why the share price is down 26% per year, over 3 years. You can see in the image below, how Calibre Mining's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

TSXV:CXB Historical Debt, May 27th 2019
TSXV:CXB Historical Debt, May 27th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. Given that situation, would you be concerned if it turned out insiders were relentlessly selling stock? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Calibre Mining had a tough year, with a total loss of 31%, against a market gain of about 1.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3.7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Calibre Mining is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.