Advertisement
Canada markets closed
  • S&P/TSX

    21,947.41
    +124.19 (+0.57%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,127.79
    +63.59 (+1.26%)
     
  • DOW

    38,675.68
    +450.02 (+1.18%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7308
    -0.0006 (-0.08%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.99
    -0.96 (-1.22%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    86,516.11
    +159.07 (+0.18%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,316.10
    +39.13 (+3.07%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,310.10
    +0.50 (+0.02%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,035.72
    +19.61 (+0.97%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5000
    -0.0710 (-1.55%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    16,156.33
    +315.37 (+1.99%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    13.49
    -1.19 (-8.11%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,213.49
    +41.34 (+0.51%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,236.07
    -37.98 (-0.10%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6787
    -0.0030 (-0.44%)
     

Introducing Bank of Montreal (TSE:BMO), A Stock That Climbed 17% In The Last Five Years

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. To wit, the Bank of Montreal share price has climbed 17% in five years, easily topping the market return of 4.5% (ignoring dividends).

View our latest analysis for Bank of Montreal

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

ADVERTISEMENT

During five years of share price growth, Bank of Montreal achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.9% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 3.1% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 10.26 also suggests market apprehension.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

TSX:BMO Past and Future Earnings, September 19th 2019
TSX:BMO Past and Future Earnings, September 19th 2019

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Bank of Montreal the TSR over the last 5 years was 42%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Bank of Montreal had a tough year, with a total loss of 5.8% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 3.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7.3%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

Bank of Montreal is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.