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Introducing Archon Minerals (CVE:ACS), The Stock That Slid 70% In The Last Three Years

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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the long term shareholders of Archon Minerals Limited (CVE:ACS) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 70% decline in the share price in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 51% lower in that time. Unhappily, the share price slid 3.8% in the last week.

See our latest analysis for Archon Minerals

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Archon Minerals recorded just CA$28,942 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Archon Minerals will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as Archon Minerals investors might realise.

Our data indicates that Archon Minerals had CA$66,754,335 more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in February 2019. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But with the share price diving 33% per year, over 3 years, it's probably fair to say that some shareholders no longer believe the company will succeed. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Archon Minerals's cash levels have changed over time.

TSXV:ACS Historical Debt, June 19th 2019
TSXV:ACS Historical Debt, June 19th 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? It would bother me, that's for sure. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

Archon Minerals shareholders are down 51% for the year, but the market itself is up 1.4%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 16% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

Archon Minerals is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.