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indie Semiconductor, Inc. (NASDAQ:INDI) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

indie Semiconductor, Inc. (NASDAQ:INDI) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 22, 2024

indie Semiconductor, Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good afternoon and welcome to indie Semiconductor’s Fourth Quarter and Year End 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Ashish Gupta, Investor Relations. Mr. Gupta, please go ahead.

Ashish Gupta: Thank you, operator. Good afternoon and welcome to indie Semiconductor’s fourth quarter and year end 2023 earnings call. Joining me today are Don McClymont, indie’s Co-Founder and CEO; and Tom Schiller, indie’s CFO and EVP of Strategy. Don will provide opening remarks and discuss business highlights, followed by Tom’s review of Q4 and indie’s outlook. Please note that we’ll be making forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements reflect our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representative of our views as of any subsequent date. These statements are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations.

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For material risks and other important factors that could affect our financial results, please review our Risk Factors in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, as well as other public reports with the SEC. Finally, the results and guidance discussed today are based on non-GAAP financial measures such as non-GAAP gross margin, non-GAAP operating income loss, non-GAAP net income loss and non-GAAP EBITDA. These metrics may exclude corresponding GAAP measures certain of the following items, depreciation and amortization, share-based compensation, acquisition-related expenses, inventory cost realignments, gain or loss from change in fair values, non-cash interest expense, and income tax, benefits or expenses.

For a complete reconciliation to GAAP and the definition for the above items, please see our Q4 earnings press release, which was issued in advance of this call and can be found on our website at www.indiesemi.com. I’ll now turn the call over to Donald.

Don McClymont: Thank you, Ashish, and welcome, everybody. The indie team delivered another quarter of solid revenue and gross margin performance, capping off a third consecutive year in which we’ve more than doubled our top-line. Once again, massively outpacing our peer group and earning the unique distinction of being the fastest-growing semiconductor company in the world based on our last 2 years of revenue performance, per Morgan Stanley. Despite the challenging macro backdrop, in Q4, we achieved record revenue delivering sales growth of 112% year-over-year and 16% sequentially to just over $70 million, with 50 basis points of gross margin expansion on a year-over-year basis to 52.7%. We also substantially narrowed our operating loss to less than $1 million on an EBITDA basis.

While we navigate automotive industry weakness in the short-term, stemming from rising interest rates, slowing in-market car sales, decelerating consumer transition to semiconductor content-rich electric vehicles, and inventory rebalancing across the automotive industry, our design win momentum has continued unabated and reinforces our confidence in indie’s business model. I’m proud of the indie team’s absolute relentlessness and the substantial progress we’ve made to date towards our financial goals in the face of these headwinds. Entering 2024, we expect these dynamics to persist, dampening Q1, but with a recovery in Q2 and a return to strong growth by Q3 and Q4 of this year. As context, automotive markets are forecasted to slow after experiencing a strong 2023.

According to an updated S&P Global Assessment from last month, in 2022, light vehicle production totaled 83 million units, up 7% year-over-year, while 2023 was up 9% to 90 million vehicles, but S&P Global is now indicating the first signs of the market shrinking in this production year. In particular, we are seeing real-time weakness across the China e-vehicle market as their luxury vehicle SAAR, or the seasonally adjusted annual rate, came in at 20.6 million for January, down versus 21.7 million reported in December, marking the fifth consecutive month of declines. While the fundamental landscape for EVs over the medium and longer-term remains robust, shorter-term, e-vehicle industry trends have certainly deteriorated, given reduced buyer incentives, concern over charging infrastructure, and the saturation of early adopters.

The shift in our near-term outlook reflects the softness compounded by the cancellation of a high-profile North American OEM ADAS program, which you may recall was pushed out from last year through no fault of indie. Despite this setback, it won’t result in a permanent loss of revenue, as we fully expect to participate in their next equivalent project. Moreover, we’ve won substantial subsequent business with this OEM, leveraging the same indie vision product line, which will more than offset this loss in the medium-term. So while we are seeing this air pocket in broader industry demand, the strategic opportunity for indie remains unchanged and is enormous, particularly as indie is at the unique intersection of vehicle safety systems, sensor fusion, and with our newest product developments, artificial intelligence, towards realizing our vision of the uncrashable car.

Accordingly, we will continue to prudently invest, remain aggressive on taping out new products as soon as possible, maintain our disciplined cost control approach, but balance that against addressing ever-increasing Tier 1 and OEM demand for our innovative Autotech solutions, including each of these exciting new technologies. And while incremental investments hamper profitability in the immediate term, they will enable us to maintain our steep growth trajectory over the long run, furthering indie’s technology leadership and adding to our strategic backlog. To that end, during the quarter, we expanded our automotive camera video processor portfolio with the launch of a highly integrated system-on-chip that enables precision performance sensing capability at the vehicle’s edge, while supporting driver viewing.

As government regulators, new car safety assessors, and consumers demand higher performance safety features, automakers are increasingly seeking camera-based ADAS solutions that support volume scalability across their vehicle classes. This requires a distributed processing approach to vision sensing with high levels of integration of low power consumption to meet the needs of mass market deployments. Again, according to S&P Global, shipments of automotive electronic control units incorporating vision-based processing are expected to grow from 232 million units in 2022 to nearly 400 million units by 2027. And based on our current engagements, we intend to capture a disproportionate share of this market. We also continue to gain design win traction by securing major in-cabin monitoring programs at leading automotive OEMs, including BMW, Ford, General Motors, and Toyota.

A semiconductor chip with intricate circuitry, highlighting the company's tech capabilities.
A semiconductor chip with intricate circuitry, highlighting the company's tech capabilities.

As global safety initiatives continue to evolve, the demand for these monitoring systems is intensifying, positioning in-cabin sensing solutions as critical elements to enable future automation features. More recently, we entered into a strategic partnership with Ficosa, a leading Tier 1 supplier to bring AI-based automotive camera solutions, initially supporting two of the top five car OEMs in the world and aimed at significantly enhancing vehicle safety. Government regulators and new car safety assessment programs are increasingly seeking to specify protection for vulnerable road users such as pedestrians and cyclists, often referred to as VRU, especially through backup and e-mirror applications. Euro NCAP implemented the VRU safety test protocol in 2020 under the United States, the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration, or NHTSA, has this year proposed enhancements to the NCAP protocol to provide consumers with information about crashworthiness and pedestrian protection of new vehicles.

As a result, automakers are demanding camera-based ADAS solutions that provide not just passive viewing capability, but also intelligent sensing to actively detect pedestrians via AI processing and take corresponding action. indie’s upcoming generation of vision solutions incorporate proprietary on-chip neural processing hardware and software to enable real-time data processing, such as object classification and detection of the vehicle’s edge, thereby offloading the central ADAS compute processing requirements and alleviating the cost and power consumption of high-speed data transfer across the vehicle. Leveraging Ficosa’s near decade-long expertise as a high-volume vision solution supplier and our field-proven differentiated vision processing technology, together, we can deliver breakthrough imaging and in-camera object detection, particularly for challenging edge sensing applications.

Sampling for the first smart AI-based camera solutions is set to commence later this year with volume production slated for 2025. At the same time, and just as importantly, I’m pleased to report that we have successfully sampled our radar baseband and MMIC to our lead customer, one of the largest contributors to our strategic backlog, and are on track for a 2025 program ramp. Shifting to user experience, during the quarter, we launched new products adding to our interior lighting and power management portfolios at leading global automakers to support OEMs increasing prioritization of a captivating in-cabin environment. Vehicles have become more than just a means of transportation, morphing into a sophisticated environment equipped with an array of electronic devices and systems.

As a result, the need for reliable, efficient, and seamless power delivery has risen to the forefront. Similarly, OEMs are increasingly focusing on interior and exterior lighting solutions as it transcends just functionality within the modern vehicle, becoming a pivotal element of the user experience that shapes the cabin’s ambiance and enhances visibility and safety. Finally, in the electric vehicle area, we have extended our footprint of the leading North American e-vehicle OEM, securing two significant design wins in support of their future model years. The two custom chip sets enable high-speed smart networking within the vehicle. In summary, despite the tactical market challenges, we’re willing new programs and setting the stage for the next wave of above-market growth towards sustained profitability.

I’ll now turn the call over to Tom for a discussion of our Q4 results and outlook.

Tom Schiller: Thanks, Donald. Revenue for the fourth quarter was up 112% year-over-year and up 16% sequentially to a record $70.1 million at the lower end of our guidance band and indicative of the weak market environment, though still up more than tenfold within just 3 years. Q4 gross profit was $37 million, translating into a 52.7% gross margin, up 50 basis points year-over-year and consistent with our guidance. Operating expenses were $39.4 million, with R&D sequentially lower to $29.4 million, reflecting a pause and tapeout activity, while SG&A was down slightly quarter-over-quarter to $10 million. In turn, our Q4 operating loss narrowed to $2.4 million versus a loss of $15.1 million in the year-ago period, driven by higher revenue, improving gross margin, and operating expense leverage.

Adding back $1.4 million of depreciation, our EBITDA loss was less than $1 million. With net interest expense of $200,000, our net loss was $2.6 million, and we posted a $0.01 loss per share on a base of 181.6 million shares, again, in-line with our guidance and consensus estimates. We exited the quarter with $151.7 million of cash and equivalents, down $9 million versus Q3, primarily related to increased AR and CapEx to expand our internal test capacity, partially offset by a decline in inventory. Turning to our outlook. For the first quarter of 2024, we expect indie’s revenue to be up 38% year-over-year, but down 20% sequentially, reflecting seasonality and current industry softness, with gross margin in the 52% range. In terms of operating expenses, we are planning for $34 million in R&D, driven by accelerated product development activities, and $10 million of SG&A.

Below the line, we anticipate $400,000 of net interest expense and no taxes. Assuming 186 million shares outstanding, including the full 7.7 million shares related to the retirement of 27 million warrants that we closed in November, we expect an $0.08 net loss per share. From a full-year 2024 perspective, we expect revenue to be in the $275 million to $300 million range, up 29% at the midpoint. Based on our new program and design-win pipeline, we expect Q1 to represent a trough quarter, a top-line recovery in Q2, and a resumption of outsized revenue growth in Q3 and Q4, yielding a profitability baseline on an EBITDA basis in the second half of this year, ahead of our significant 2025 radar and vision ramps. On that note, I’ll turn the call back to Donald for his closing comments.

Don McClymont: Thanks, Tom. In conclusion, we posted record Q4 and 2023 results, demonstrating the strength of our business model through a challenging operating environment. Whilst we can’t control the weather, our strategic focus remains unwavering. We’re building an absolute Autotech powerhouse with innovative ADAS, user experience, and electric vehicle solutions, positioning us to effectively navigate current market conditions, capitalize on the $48 billion serviceable opportunity, which is just ahead of us and, most importantly, to create great shareholder value. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, let’s open the call for questions.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Suji Desilva with ROTH MKM. Please go ahead.

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