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India could rely on Russia for half its oil imports soon as Moscow continues to sell cheap barrels

Vladimir Putin
Russian President Vladimir Putin.Alexei Druzhinin/RIA Novosti, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP
  • Russia accounted for 30% of India's oil imports in March, per a Nikkei analysis.

  • That's up from less than 2% in January 2022, and the figure could hit 50% this month.

  • Russia's oil exports have returned to pre-war levels, with India and China absorbing 90% of those supplies.

Russia accounted for 30% of India's oil imports in March, according to a Nikkei analysis, and that new high could jump further to 40%-50% in April.

That figure is up from less than 2% in January 2022, just before Russia invaded Ukraine and when India at the time primarily relied on the Middle East for its oil.

With a series of Western sanctions and price cap mechanisms imposed on energy supplies coming out of Moscow, Russia's benchmark Urals crude is trading at about $65, about 20% lower than Brent crude, the international benchmark.

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The discount has encouraged countries that haven't shunned Russia for its war on Ukraine to snap up cheap supplies.

In March, India imported over 6 million tons of Russian oil, and China imported over 4.7 million tons, per Nikkei, second to India. Beijing's dependence on Russia hit 10% of its oil imports, the report said.

With Europe largely out of the picture now, India and China are responsible for roughly 90% of Russia's oil export volumes, per Kpler data.

Led by their demand, Russia's crude exports have since returned to pre-war levels, the International Energy Agency reported in April.

In the first quarter, Russian seaborne crude exports hit 3.5 million barrels a day, compared to the 3.35 million barrels in the year-ago quarter.

To be sure, Russia's export revenues are 43% lower than a year ago despite its elevated sale volumes as prices have fallen, per the IEA.

Read the original article on Business Insider