Advertisement
Canada markets close in 1 hour 3 minutes
  • S&P/TSX

    22,310.80
    -65.03 (-0.29%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,221.43
    +7.35 (+0.14%)
     
  • DOW

    39,496.86
    +109.10 (+0.28%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7315
    +0.0004 (+0.06%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.28
    -0.98 (-1.24%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    82,826.86
    -2,243.44 (-2.64%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,254.65
    -103.36 (-7.61%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,374.50
    +34.20 (+1.46%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,056.26
    -17.37 (-0.84%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5020
    +0.0530 (+1.19%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    16,338.91
    -7.36 (-0.05%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    12.69
    0.00 (0.00%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,433.76
    +52.41 (+0.63%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,229.11
    +155.13 (+0.41%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6787
    +0.0009 (+0.13%)
     

Can You Imagine How Pembina Pipeline's (TSE:PPL) Shareholders Feel About The 18% Share Price Increase?

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Pembina Pipeline Corporation (TSE:PPL) shareholders have seen the share price rise 18% over three years, well in excess of the market return (5.2%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 9.9% in the last year , including dividends .

Check out our latest analysis for Pembina Pipeline

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

ADVERTISEMENT

Pembina Pipeline was able to grow its EPS at 41% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 5.6% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

TSX:PPL Past and Future Earnings, October 3rd 2019
TSX:PPL Past and Future Earnings, October 3rd 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Pembina Pipeline's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Pembina Pipeline, it has a TSR of 36% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Pembina Pipeline shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.9% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6.5%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Pembina Pipeline by clicking this link.

Pembina Pipeline is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.