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Can You Imagine How Amdocs's (NASDAQ:DOX) Shareholders Feel About The 24% Share Price Increase?

Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last month. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. In that time, it is up 24%, which isn't bad, but is below the market return of 55%.

See our latest analysis for Amdocs

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Amdocs achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.9% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 4.5% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

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The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NasdaqGS:DOX Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2020
NasdaqGS:DOX Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2020

We know that Amdocs has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Amdocs, it has a TSR of 34% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Amdocs has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 20% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 6.0% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Amdocs better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Amdocs that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.