Advertisement
Canada markets open in 1 hour 25 minutes
  • S&P/TSX

    21,885.38
    +11.66 (+0.05%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,048.42
    -23.21 (-0.46%)
     
  • DOW

    38,085.80
    -375.12 (-0.98%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7323
    +0.0000 (+0.00%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    84.10
    +0.53 (+0.63%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    87,679.05
    +656.17 (+0.75%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,385.26
    -11.28 (-0.81%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,356.00
    +13.50 (+0.58%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    1,981.12
    -14.31 (-0.72%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.7060
    +0.0540 (+1.16%)
     
  • NASDAQ futures

    17,748.75
    +181.25 (+1.03%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    15.61
    +0.24 (+1.56%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,115.38
    +36.52 (+0.45%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,934.76
    +306.28 (+0.81%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6830
    +0.0009 (+0.13%)
     

Should Horseshoe Metals (ASX:HOR) Be Disappointed With Their 23% Profit?

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the Horseshoe Metals Limited (ASX:HOR) share price is 23% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 13% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 11% in three years.

See our latest analysis for Horseshoe Metals

Horseshoe Metals didn't have any revenue in the last year, so it's fair to say it doesn't yet have a proven product (or at least not one people are paying for). So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that Horseshoe Metals will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

ADVERTISEMENT

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized).

Our data indicates that Horseshoe Metals had AU$8.7m more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in June 2019. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. So the fact that the stock is up 146% in the last year shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. Investors must really like its potential. You can see in the image below, how Horseshoe Metals's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). You can see in the image below, how Horseshoe Metals's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

ASX:HOR Historical Debt, November 6th 2019
ASX:HOR Historical Debt, November 6th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. It's usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Horseshoe Metals shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 23% over one year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2.7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.