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If You Had Bought Midas Gold (TSE:MAX) Shares Three Years Ago You’d Have Made 113%

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don’t use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Midas Gold Corp. (TSE:MAX) share price has soared 113% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 11% gain in the last three months. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 8.9% in 90 days).

Check out our latest analysis for Midas Gold

With zero revenue generated over twelve months, we Midas Gold has proved its business plan yet. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, investors may be hoping that Midas Gold finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

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Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress – and share price – will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as Midas Gold investors might know.

Our data indicates that Midas Gold had net debt of US$45,402,896 when it last reported in December 2018. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. So the fact that the stock is up 29% per year, over 3 years shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. Investors must really like its potential. The image belows shows how Midas Gold’s balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

TSX:MAX Historical Debt, March 13th 2019
TSX:MAX Historical Debt, March 13th 2019

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. Given that situation, many of the best investors like to check if insiders have been buying shares. It’s usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

Midas Gold shareholders are down 14% for the year, but the market itself is up 3.5%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3.3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you would like to research Midas Gold in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

But note: Midas Gold may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.