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Is Goldcorp Inc’s (TSE:G) PE Ratio A Signal To Sell For Investors?

I am writing today to help inform people who are new to the stock market and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Goldcorp Inc (TSE:G) trades with a trailing P/E of 32.4, which is higher than the industry average of 9.8. While this might not seem positive, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. Today, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.

See our latest analysis for Goldcorp

Breaking down the P/E ratio

TSX:G PE PEG Gauge October 12th 18
TSX:G PE PEG Gauge October 12th 18

P/E is often used for relative valuation since earnings power is a chief driver of investment value. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for G

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

G Price-Earnings Ratio = $10.8 ÷ $0.333 = 32.4x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. We want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar characteristics as G, such as size and country of operation. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. G’s P/E of 32.4 is higher than its industry peers (9.8), which implies that each dollar of G’s earnings is being overvalued by investors. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 25 Metals and Mining companies in CA including Winston Resources, Sulliden Mining Capital and Sherritt International. You could also say that the market is suggesting that G is a stronger business than the average comparable company.

Assumptions to watch out for

Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that there are assumptions in this analysis. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to G. If not, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if Goldcorp Inc is growing faster than its peers, then it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. We should also be aware that the stocks we are comparing to G may not be fairly valued. Thus while we might conclude that it is richly valued relative to its peers, that could be explained by the peer group being undervalued.

What this means for you:

Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on G, the overvaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to reduce your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I’ve outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for G’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for G’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has G been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of G’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.