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Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE:GNE) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Most readers would already be aware that Genie Energy's (NYSE:GNE) stock increased significantly by 10% over the past month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Genie Energy's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Genie Energy

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

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So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Genie Energy is:

1.7% = US$1.4m ÷ US$81m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learnt that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Genie Energy's Earnings Growth And 1.7% ROE

As you can see, Genie Energy's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 9.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. In spite of this, Genie Energy was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 49% in the last five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Genie Energy's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 7.6% in the same period, which is great to see.

NYSE:GNE Past Earnings Growth May 2nd 2020
NYSE:GNE Past Earnings Growth May 2nd 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Genie Energy fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Genie Energy Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Genie Energy's very high LTM (or last twelve month) payout ratio of 296% suggests that the company is paying more to its shareholders than what it is earning. However, this hasn't hampered its ability to grow as we saw earlier. Although, it could be worth keeping an eye on the high payout ratio as that's a huge risk. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Genie Energy visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Genie Energy is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of eight years of paying a dividend.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Genie Energy. Although the company has shown a pretty impressive growth in earnings, yet the low ROE and the low rate of reinvestment makes us skeptical about the continuity of that growth, especially when or if the business comes to face any threats. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.