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How Does Prodigy Ventures's (CVE:PGV) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Prodigy Ventures (CVE:PGV) share price has dived 36% in the last thirty days. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 28% over that longer period.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

Check out our latest analysis for Prodigy Ventures

How Does Prodigy Ventures's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 26.35 that there is some investor optimism about Prodigy Ventures. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (23.7) for companies in the it industry is lower than Prodigy Ventures's P/E.

TSXV:PGV Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
TSXV:PGV Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

That means that the market expects Prodigy Ventures will outperform other companies in its industry. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

When earnings fall, the 'E' decreases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.

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Prodigy Ventures's 118% EPS improvement over the last year was like bamboo growth after rain; rapid and impressive. The sweetener is that the annual five year growth rate of 18% is also impressive. So I'd be surprised if the P/E ratio was not above average. Unfortunately, earnings per share are down 27% a year, over 3 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

So What Does Prodigy Ventures's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

Prodigy Ventures has net cash of CA$2.2m. This is fairly high at 21% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.

The Verdict On Prodigy Ventures's P/E Ratio

Prodigy Ventures trades on a P/E ratio of 26.4, which is above its market average of 11.6. The excess cash it carries is the gravy on top its fast EPS growth. So based on this analysis we'd expect Prodigy Ventures to have a high P/E ratio. Given Prodigy Ventures's P/E ratio has declined from 41.0 to 26.4 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. We don't have analyst forecasts, but you could get a better understanding of its growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Prodigy Ventures. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.