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Does Magna International Inc’s (TSX:MG) PE Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

Magna International Inc (TSX:MG) is trading with a trailing P/E of 8.8x, which is lower than the industry average of 16.4x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for. Check out our latest analysis for Magna International

Breaking down the P/E ratio

TSX:MG PE PEG Gauge Sep 15th 17
TSX:MG PE PEG Gauge Sep 15th 17

The P/E ratio is one of many ratios used in relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for MG

Price per share = 59.86

Earnings per share = 5.566

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 59.86 ÷ 5.566 = 8.8x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to MG, such as capital structure and profitability. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.

MG’s P/E of 8.8x is lower than its industry peers (16.4x), which implies that each dollar of MG’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. Therefore, according to this analysis, MG is an under-priced stock.

A few caveats

Before you jump to the conclusion that MG represents the perfect buying opportunity, it is important to realise that our conclusion rests on two important assertions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to MG. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing lower risk firms with MG, then MG’s P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, since investors would value those with lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing higher growth firms with MG. In this case, MG’s P/E would be lower since investors would also reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing MG to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption is violated, MG's P/E may be lower than its peers because its peers are actually overvalued by investors.

TSX:MG Future Profit Sep 15th 17
TSX:MG Future Profit Sep 15th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on MG, the undervaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to top up on your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I've outlined above.

Are you a potential investor? If MG has been on your watch list for a while, it is best you also consider its intrinsic valuation. Looking at PE on its own will not give you the full picture of the stock as an investment, so I suggest you should also look at other relative valuation metrics like EV/EBITDA or PEG.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Magna International for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.