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Does Kelt Exploration (TSE:KEL) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Kelt Exploration (TSE:KEL), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

See our latest analysis for Kelt Exploration

Kelt Exploration's Improving Profits

In the last three years Kelt Exploration's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. In impressive fashion, Kelt Exploration's EPS grew from CA$0.46 to CA$0.82, over the previous 12 months. It's a rarity to see 77% year-on-year growth like that. Shareholders will be hopeful that this is a sign of the company reaching an inflection point.

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Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. The music to the ears of Kelt Exploration shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 35% to 38% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in our book.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
earnings-and-revenue-history

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Kelt Exploration's forecast profits?

Are Kelt Exploration Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

The CA$2.5m worth of shares that insiders sold during the last 12 months pales in comparison to the CA$7.0m they spent on acquiring shares in the company. We find this encouraging because it suggests they are optimistic about Kelt Exploration'sfuture. We also note that it was the CEO, President & Non-Independent Director, David Wilson, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying CA$4.1m for shares at about CA$5.31 each.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Kelt Exploration bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at CA$155m. Coming in at 17% of the business, that holding gives insiders a lot of influence, and plenty of reason to generate value for shareholders. Looking very optimistic for investors.

While insiders already own a significant amount of shares, and they have been buying more, the good news for ordinary shareholders does not stop there. The cherry on top is that the CEO, David Wilson is paid comparatively modestly to CEOs at similar sized companies. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Kelt Exploration, with market caps between CA$535m and CA$2.1b, is around CA$2.0m.

The CEO of Kelt Exploration only received CA$717k in total compensation for the year ending December 2021. That looks like a modest pay packet, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Kelt Exploration To Your Watchlist?

Kelt Exploration's earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. To make matters even better, the company insiders who know the company best have put their faith in the its future and have been buying more stock. These factors seem to indicate the company's potential and that it has reached an inflection point. We'd suggest Kelt Exploration belongs near the top of your watchlist. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kelt Exploration you should be aware of.

The good news is that Kelt Exploration is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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