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Does Greif Inc (NYSE:GEF) Have A Good P/E Ratio?

This analysis is intended to introduce important early concepts to people who are starting to invest and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Greif Inc (NYSE:GEF) is trading with a trailing P/E of 10.6x, which is lower than the industry average of 18.8x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

See our latest analysis for Greif

Demystifying the P/E ratio

NYSE:GEF PE PEG Gauge October 25th 18
NYSE:GEF PE PEG Gauge October 25th 18

A common ratio used for relative valuation is the P/E ratio. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for GEF

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

GEF Price-Earnings Ratio = $44.72 ÷ $4.23 = 10.6x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. Our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to GEF, such as company lifetime and products sold. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since GEF’s P/E of 10.6 is lower than its industry peers (18.8), it means that investors are paying less for each dollar of GEF’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 15 Packaging companies in US including WestRock, International Paper and Silgan Holdings. One could put it like this: the market is pricing GEF as if it is a weaker company than the average company in its industry.

Assumptions to watch out for

However, it is important to note that this conclusion is based on two key assumptions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to GEF, or else the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are comparing lower risk firms with GEF, then its P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, as investors would value those with lower risk at a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing GEF to are fairly valued by the market. If this is violated, GEF’s P/E may be lower than its peers as they are actually overvalued by investors.

What this means for you:

Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on GEF, the undervaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to top up on your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I’ve outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for GEF’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for GEF’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has GEF been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of GEF’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.