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Does Canada Goose Holdings (TSE:GOOS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (TSE:GOOS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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Check out our latest analysis for Canada Goose Holdings

How Much Debt Does Canada Goose Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2019 Canada Goose Holdings had CA$307.2m of debt, an increase on CA$217.3m, over one year. However, it also had CA$25.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$282.2m.

TSX:GOOS Historical Debt, September 6th 2019
TSX:GOOS Historical Debt, September 6th 2019

How Healthy Is Canada Goose Holdings's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Canada Goose Holdings had liabilities of CA$139.6m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$523.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$25.0m in cash and CA$40.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$597.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Canada Goose Holdings has a market capitalization of CA$5.72b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Canada Goose Holdings's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Canada Goose Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Canada Goose Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Canada Goose Holdings reported free cash flow worth 2.7% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Canada Goose Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Canada Goose Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Canada Goose Holdings insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.