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Did You Miss KFG Resources's (CVE:KFG) 88% Share Price Gain?

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the KFG Resources Ltd. (CVE:KFG) share price is up 88% in the last three years, clearly besting than the market return of around 12% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 67%.

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Check out our latest analysis for KFG Resources

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With just US$1,449,895 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers KFG Resources to have proven its business plan. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). For example, they may be hoping that KFG Resources finds fossil fuels with an exploration program, before it runs out of money.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as KFG Resources investors might know.

KFG Resources had cash in excess of all liabilities of US$231k when it last reported (January 2019). That's not too bad but management may have to think about raising capital or taking on debt, unless the company is close to breaking even. With the share price up 23% per year, over 3 years, the market is seems hopeful about the potential, despite the cash burn. The image below shows how KFG Resources's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

TSXV:KFG Historical Debt, May 23rd 2019
TSXV:KFG Historical Debt, May 23rd 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. Given that situation, many of the best investors like to check if insiders have been buying shares. It's often positive if so, assuming the buying is sustained and meaningful. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that KFG Resources has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 67% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 11% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. If you would like to research KFG Resources in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.