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Did Changing Sentiment Drive Imex Systems's (CVE:IMEX) Share Price Down A Painful 87%?

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The art and science of stock market investing requires a tolerance for losing money on some of the shares you buy. But it would be foolish to simply accept every extremely large loss as an inevitable part of the game. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Imex Systems Inc. (CVE:IMEX); the share price is down a whopping 87% in the last twelve months. That'd be enough to make even the strongest stomachs churn. Because Imex Systems hasn't been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Furthermore, it's down 43% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

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Check out our latest analysis for Imex Systems

We don't think Imex Systems's revenue of CA$1,211,315 is enough to establish significant demand. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that Imex Systems will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Some Imex Systems investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.

Our data indicates that Imex Systems had net debt of CA$1,402,500 when it last reported in September 2018. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But with the share price diving 87% in the last year, it's probably fair to say that some shareholders no longer believe the company will succeed. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Imex Systems's cash levels have changed over time.

TSXV:IMEX Historical Debt, April 29th 2019
TSXV:IMEX Historical Debt, April 29th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. Given that situation, would you be concerned if it turned out insiders were relentlessly selling stock? It would bother me, that's for sure. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.

A Different Perspective

Given that the market gained 6.3% in the last year, Imex Systems shareholders might be miffed that they lost 87%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. With the stock down 43% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

But note: Imex Systems may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.