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Capital Allocation Trends At Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Aren't Ideal

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Kimberly-Clark:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.25 = US$2.8b ÷ (US$18b - US$7.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

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Therefore, Kimberly-Clark has an ROCE of 25%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Household Products industry average of 13%.

Check out our latest analysis for Kimberly-Clark

roce
roce

In the above chart we have measured Kimberly-Clark's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kimberly-Clark here for free.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Kimberly-Clark, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, while the ROCE is still high, it's fallen from 38% where it was five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

Our Take On Kimberly-Clark's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Kimberly-Clark's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has gained an impressive 54% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Kimberly-Clark that we think you should be aware of.

If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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