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British Pound Unlikely to Find Fuel in Bank of England Rate Decision
DailyFX.com -
Talking Points:
British Pound May Not Find Fuel in Bank of England Policy Announcement
Yen Declines, Aussie and NZ Dollars Gain as Risk Appetite Swells Overnight
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A monetary policy announcement from the Bank of England headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. While UK economic news-flow has cautiously improved since December’s sit-down, the outlook is not so robust as to expect the hawks to build the voting majority needed to produce a hike. Indeed, futures pricing implies the first increase in the benchmark lending rate will not arrive until the fourth quarter. The BOE typically doesn’t publish a statement when policy is left unchanged, so today’s announcement will probably amount to a non-event for the British Pound.
The safety-linked Japanese Yen slumped while the sentiment-geared Australian and New Zealand Dollars staged an impressive advance in overnight trade as risk appetite firmed. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index rose 1.2 percent. The move appeared to follow on from a recovery on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 snapped a losing streak to produce the largest advance in three weeks. The move higher appeared corrective following five days consecutive down days rather than inspired by minutes from December’s FOMC meeting or an upbeat set of economic data outcomes, as the newswires suggested.
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Asia Session
GMT | CCY | EVENT | ACT | EXP | PREV |
0:30 | AUD | Building Approvals (MoM) (NOV) | 7.5% | -3.0% | 11.5% |
0:30 | AUD | Building Approvals (YoY) (NOV) | 10.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% |
2:00 | JPY | Tokyo Avg Office Vacancies (%) (DEC) | 5.47 | - | 5.55 |
5:30 | AUD | Foreign Reserves (A$) (DEC) | 65.7B | - | 61.7B |
European Session
GMT | CCY | EVENT | EXP/ACT | PREV | IMPACT |
7:00 | EUR | German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (NOV) | -0.4% (A) | 2.4% | Medium |
7:00 | EUR | German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (NOV) | -2.4% (A) | 2.5% | Medium |
8:00 | GBP | Halifax House Prices s.a. (MoM) (DEC) | 0.3% | 0.4% | Low |
8:00 | GBP | Halifax House Price (3M/Y) (DEC) | 7.6% | 8.2% | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone PPI (MoM) (NOV) | -0.1% | -0.4% | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone PPI (YoY) (NOV) | -1.4% | -1.3% | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) (NOV) | 0.2% | 0.4% | Medium |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) (NOV) | 0.2% | 1.4% | Medium |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Industrial Confidence (DEC) | -4.0 | -4.3 | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Business Climate Indicator (DEC) | 0.17 | 0.18 | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Services Confidence (DEC) | 4.6 | 4.4 | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Economic Confidence (DEC) | 101.2 | 100.8 | Low |
10:00 | EUR | Eurozone Consumer Confidence (DEC F) | -10.9 | -10.9 | Medium |
12:00 | GBP | BOE Asset Purchase Target | 375B | 375B | High |
12:00 | GBP | Bank of England Rate Decision | 0.50% | 0.50% | High |
Critical Levels
CCY | Supp 3 | Supp 2 | Supp 1 | Pivot Point | Res 1 | Res 2 | Res 3 |
EURUSD | 1.1656 | 1.1751 | 1.1795 | 1.1846 | 1.1890 | 1.1941 | 1.2036 |
GBPUSD | 1.4905 | 1.5006 | 1.5058 | 1.5107 | 1.5159 | 1.5208 | 1.5309 |
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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