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AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript June 26, 2024

AeroVironment, Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.43, expectations were $0.21.

Operator: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AeroVironment Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024 Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker for today, Jonah Teeter-Balin. You may begin.

Jonah Teeter-Balin: Thanks, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to AeroVironment's fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024 earnings call. This is Jonah Teeter-Balin, Senior Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Before we begin, please note that certain information presented on this call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve many risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. Further information on these risks and uncertainties is contained in the company's 10-K and other filings with the SEC, in particular in the Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statement portions of such filings.

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Copies are available from the SEC on the AeroVironment website at www.avinc.com or from our Investor Relations team. This afternoon, we also filed a slide presentation with our earnings release and posted the presentation to the Investors section of our website under Events and Presentations. The content of this conference call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of today, June 26, 2024. The company undertakes no obligation to make any revision to any forward-looking statements contained in our remarks today or to update them to reflect the events or circumstances occurring after this conference call. Joining me today from AeroVironment are Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Wahid Nawabi, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Kevin McDonnell.

We will now begin with remarks from Wahid Nawabi. Wahid?

Wahid Nawabi: Thank you, Jonah. Welcome everyone to our fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024 earnings conference call. I will start by summarizing our performance and recent achievements, after which Kevin will review our financial results in greater detail. I will then provide our expectations for fiscal year 2025. And finally, Kevin, Jonah and I will take your questions. I'm pleased to report strong results for the quarter and a record breaking fiscal year for AeroVironment. Our key messages, which are included on Slide #3 of our earnings presentation are as follows: First, for the full fiscal year, revenue increased 33% to a record $717 million compared to $541 million last fiscal year. This is now our seventh consecutive year of top-line growth.

Fourth quarter revenue rose to $197 million, a 6% increase from the same period last year and a new fourth quarter record. Third, our Loitering Munition Systems segment continues to accelerate with record full fiscal year revenues of nearly $200 million, a 60% increase compared to last fiscal year. And fourth, given our strong execution, key program awards and growing pipeline of opportunities, we expect revenues between $790 million and $820 million, reflecting 10% to 15% top-line growth in fiscal year 2025. During this past fiscal year, global demand continued to surge for autonomous systems and AV responded accordingly. We invested across the organization to strengthen our team, expand our manufacturing capacity and enhance our solution offerings to meet the evolving needs of our customers.

With these investments and our core strengths in innovation, capacity and experience, we continue to lead in this growing market. In the past year, we added three strong Directors to our Board with impressive defense and global policy expertise, whose counsel has been instrumental to our continued growth. We also added key leaders at our headquarters in the DC area to enhance customer engagement and help shape and define future requirements. In addition, we made strides in expanding our manufacturing capacity, while level-loading production to improve operational efficiencies. Due to this hard work, we were able to grow revenue by more than 30%, while retaining very high levels of product quality, performance and profitability. With increasing orders pipeline, we plan to increase our production capacity even further in fiscal year 2025, while maintaining strong operational efficiencies.

Finally, we leveraged the combat experience of our products, nine of which are currently serving in Ukraine, and our close relationship with our customers to implement important product upgrades. Our solutions portfolio is more resilient in contested environments, more autonomous, more effective and more interconnected than ever before. By utilizing our autonomy suite of solutions, including AVACORE, Kinesis, Autonomy Retrofit Kit, or ARK, and SPOTR-Edge, our customers can now utilize autonomous vehicles to sense, make sense and act on relevant information across the battle space. We believe that AV is the best-positioned defense tech firm to meet our customers' needs. Our uncrewed solutions and loitering munitions are helping our customers achieve their vital missions today, tomorrow and into the future.

We're proud of our accomplishments this year and we have even greater expectations for the years ahead. With that, I'd like to discuss results from each of our three segments, starting with Loitering Munitions Systems, or LMS. As we mentioned earlier, LMS segment was our strongest growth driver this past quarter and for the full fiscal year. Fourth quarter revenue grew 74% from the same quarter last year to $74 million. For the full year, revenue increased by 60%, totaling $193 million. Demand for both Switchblade 300 and 600 grew at an unprecedented rate this past year and we expect this growth to continue in fiscal year 2025 and beyond. In the past few months alone, we've had numerous program wins and awards announcements, many of which are not yet reflected in our backlog.

These key wins further validate the effectiveness of our solutions and active conflicts around the globe and our ability to deliver in volume. For example, Switchblade 600 was selected by the US Army as their first procurement under the Low Altitude Stalking and Strike Ordnance, or LASSO, program and was subsequently selected to participate in tranche one of the first iteration of the US DoD's Replicator initiative. In fact, we just delivered the first batch of Switchblade 600s to the US Army. Similarly, Switchblade 300 was selected by the United States Marine Corps for their first tranche of their Organic Precision Fires-Light, or OPF-L, program of record. In addition to these three significant announcements, Switchblade was also announced for the recently authorized Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative.

The approximate value of these awards, which are not yet under contract exceeds $300 million. While demand from our US DoD customers is growing, we also continue to see increasing interest from our international allies. We are getting closer to our US DoD multi-year ID/IQ contract that will better facilitate further future international sales to Ukraine and other foreign countries. In fact, we just received our first Lithuanian order for Switchblade 300 and 600. As demand for Switchblade continues to rise, AV stands ready to meet our customers' increasing expectations. Our current manufacturing levels have expanded to support more than $500 million in annual product revenue and we're actively planning for additional capacity growth. We are factory-ready today to supply the US DoD and our allied countries with the products and technology they need to succeed in their missions.

The LMS business has grown tremendously this past year and we expect it to similarly lead our growth in fiscal year 2025. Now on to our Uncrewed Systems segment, which was formerly referred to as our Unmanned Systems segment. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $104 million, slightly down from the same quarter last year, primarily due to award timing. However, revenue for fiscal year 2024 grew 30% from the prior year, totaling $448 million. Much of the Uncrewed Systems segment growth came from our Puma and JUMP 20 systems. Puma continues to lead the small UAS market as the dominant ISR workhorse in current conflicts, providing much needed reconnaissance and surveillance. As evidence, Ukraine continues to utilize Puma heavily on the battlefield and we expect additional orders in the future quarters.

We will continue to support Puma to ensure the system remains best-in-class in contested environments while advancing the development of the next-generation small UAS products. We similarly continue to make enhancements to our JUMP 20 platform, especially for the maritime environment. We believe maritime operations are of growing importance to our customers given recent and emerging geopolitical threats. As we are nearing the one-year anniversary of our Tomahawk Robotics acquisition, we could not be more pleased with how well they are performing. We continue to integrate Tomahawk's Kinesis software with our other autonomous vehicles and are pleased by the amazing common control capabilities this technology provides to our customers. While we continue to define the Uncrewed Systems market, we are not standing idle as our adversaries adjust tactics and our customers' missions evolve in response.

We're pushing ourselves to innovate every day to remain best-in-class for our customers and prepare for future programs of record. Uncrewed Systems continue to be in high demand around the globe and we anticipate strong domestic and international demand for both Puma and JUMP 20 in fiscal year 2025. Moving now to our MacCready Works segment, this past year, the MacCready Works team continued their mission of incubating new solutions and expanding our AI and autonomy capabilities. We're heavily involved in developing the next-generation of solutions for the US DoD's Replicator program and hope to provide additional details soon. In addition, we continue to make progress on HAPS, and in fact, just secured another $25 million contract with SoftBank that is reflected in our visibility for fiscal year 2025.

We similarly continue to make strides with contested logistics, maritime uncrewed systems, space robotics and other exciting platforms and innovations. Just recently, AV was down selected by DARPA for continued development of its X-Plane design for the agency's ANCILLARY program. Our solution named Wildcat is a Group 3 vertical take-off and landing UAS that is developed specifically for ship-based operations in maritime environments. Wildcat also provides complementary capabilities to our JUMP 20 for future missions. Maritime missions are becoming more important as the US DoD increases focus on the INDOPACOM theater and we're proud to continue our support of our customers in this region. In addition to this key achievement, we also announced our new suite of autonomy solutions, including Autonomy Retrofit Kit, or ARK, and AVACORE.

ARK enables operators to task a single- or multi-vehicle uncrewed team with mission objectives for fully autonomous execution while operating in contested environments. ARK also comes pre-installed with SPOTR-Edge, AV's computer vision software suite, which enables onboard detection, classification, localization and tracking of operationally relevant objects day or night. Additionally, AVACORE is AeroVironment's autonomy software suite, providing an open framework for uncrewed systems. It features a modular set of interfaces such as autopilot, RF communication devices and sensors, and supports rapid integration with new platforms and applications. In summary, MacCready Works is fulfilling its mission to develop and deliver disruptive novel solutions and we anticipate further exciting announcements in fiscal year 2025.

With that, I would like to now turn the call over to Kevin McDonnell for a review of the fourth quarter and full year financials. Kevin?

A rocket on its way to the sky, representing the power of the company's unmanned aircraft systems.
A rocket on its way to the sky, representing the power of the company's unmanned aircraft systems.

Kevin McDonnell: Thank you, Wahid. Today, I'll be reviewing the highlights of our fourth quarter and full year fiscal FY '24 performance, during which I will occasionally refer to our press release and earnings presentation available on our website. As Wahid mentioned, we will now refer to the Unmanned Systems segment as the Uncrewed, or UxS, segment. FY '24 was a record year and the fourth quarter finished strong with our highest revenue quarter ever. We expect this business momentum to continue into FY '25. In terms of the full year, revenue totaled $716.7 million, an increase of 33% as compared to the $540.5 million for the fiscal year 2023. Our largest segment during the year was Uncrewed Systems, or UxS, which is a combination of our small UAS, which includes our Tomahawk acquisition, medium UAS and UGV businesses.

UxS had revenue of $448 million in the year, up -- which is up 30% from last year's $343.9 million. Puma demand remained strong, accounting for 62% of UxS revenue, but the segment also generated $61.5 million from our JUMP 20 product, along with contributions from our ground vehicles and Tomahawk products during the year. Loitering Munition Systems, or LMS, recorded revenue of $192.6 million, a 60% increase compared to the $120.6 million last fiscal year. 62% of LMS revenue came from the Switchblade 600 products and services, while the remainder came primarily from the Switchblade 300 Block 20 products. Revenue from our MacCready Works segment came in at $76.1 million. This was flat compared to the $76 million from last fiscal year. MacCready Works growth was negatively impacted by the US government budget authorization delays.

In terms of the fourth quarter revenue, we achieved a record total of revenues of $197 million, an increase of 6% as compared to the $186 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. Uncrewed Systems, or UxS, had revenue of $103.7 million, down 15% from last year's $122.2 million with small UAS growing -- showing the biggest decline as a result of the lower Ukraine revenue. Puma demand accounted for 45% of UxS revenue, whereas JUMP 20 product sales represented close to 30% of UxS revenue during the fourth quarter. Loitering Munitions Systems, or LMS, recorded revenue of $73.8 million, a 74% increase compared to the $42.5 million last year during Q4, with comparable revenue contribution from both our Switchblade 600 and Switchblade 300 Block 20.

Revenue from our MacCready Works segment came in at $19.5 million, a decrease of 9% compared to the $21.4 million from the fourth quarter of last fiscal year, primarily again due to delays in HAPS SoftBank revenue and US DoD funding delays as a result of the continuing resolution, which impacted several MacCready Works programs. In Slide 6 of the earnings presentation, there is a breakdown between product and service revenue. The product revenue accounted for 82% of total revenues, an increase from the 65% in the previous year, primarily due to strong product revenue from both small UAS and Loitering Munitions and medium UAS businesses. We expect product revenues as a percentage of revenue to remain above 80% for the foreseeable future. Moving to gross margins.

Slide 7 of the earnings presentation shows the trend of adjusted product and service gross margins, while Slide 13 reconciles the GAAP gross margins to adjusted gross margins, which excludes intangible amortization expense and other non-cash purchase accounting items. For the year, consolidated GAAP gross margins finished at 40%, up from 32% in the previous year. The improvement in GAAP gross margins were a result of a combination of a higher mix of product revenue and higher service gross margins. Moving to adjusted gross margins. Fiscal 2024 full-year adjusted gross margins reached 42%, a significant increase from the 35% recorded in the same period last year. The improvement was driven by the same factors as the GAAP gross margins. We expect adjusted overall gross margins to be slightly down in FY '25, but continue to run-in the low 40%s.

Adjusted product gross margins for the year were 43%, flat with the fiscal year -- last fiscal year even with the increasing LMS product revenue. In terms of adjusted service gross margins, the full year ended at 33% versus 18% last year. As a reminder, last year's service gross margins were negatively impacted by the winddown of the MUAS COCO operations. Fourth quarter adjusted gross margins ended at 40%, marking an increase from the 39% recorded in the same period last year. The improvement was driven by the same factors as for the full fiscal year. Adjusted product gross margins for the quarter were 41% versus 47% in the fourth quarter of last fiscal year, reflecting the increase of Loitering Munitions Systems product revenue and the overall mix in this year.

In terms of adjusted service gross margins, the fourth quarter was at 38% versus 13% during the same quarter last year. Again, last year's Q4 service gross margins included the impact of the winddown of the COCO operations. In terms of adjusted EBITDA, Slide 14 of our earnings presentation shows a reconciliation of GAAP net income to adjusted EBITDA. For the full fiscal year 2024, adjusted EBITDA was $128 million, representing an increase of $38 million or 42% from last fiscal year. The main factors contributing to this increase were increases in revenue and gross margin, which were partially offset by increased investments in R&D and incremental SG&A expenses. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, adjusted EBITDA was $22 million, representing a decrease of $24 million or 52% from the fourth quarter of last fiscal year.

The lower year-over-year adjusted EBITDA is a result of higher R&D and SG&A expense, which I will cover next. SG&A expense, excluding intangible amortization and acquisition-related expense, for the year was $107 million or 15% of revenue compared to $81 million or 15% of revenue in the prior year. The SG&A expense as a percentage of revenue stayed flat, but includes increases from the Tomahawk acquisition and continued expansion of our domestic and international sales team. SG&A expense for the fourth quarter was $33 million or 17% of revenue compared to $23 million or 13% of revenue in the prior year. The year-over-year increase is attributed to the Tomahawk acquisition, the expansion of our sales team and increased performance-based compensation after another record year.

R&D expense for the year was $98 million or 14% of revenue compared to $64 million or 12% of revenue in the prior year. The increase of R&D expense in both dollar terms and percentage of revenue is a result of our investments in our next-generation Group 1 UAV, the maritime version of the JUMP 20, investments in our HAPS solar aircraft and investments in other new products. R&D expense for the fourth quarter was $35 million or 18% of revenue compared to $16 million or 9% of revenue in the prior year. A significant portion of our AV R&D dollars in Q4 were directed to some of our US DoD programs, [so those] (ph) funding had been delayed due to the pending finalization of the US Federal budget for the government fiscal year. We expect R&D expense to range in the 12% to 13% area in fiscal 2025, as we continue to make investments across the product portfolio.

Now, turning to GAAP earnings. In fiscal year 2024, the company generated net income of $59.7 million versus a net loss of $176.2 million recorded in the fiscal year '23, an increase in net income of $235.8 million. In fiscal 2023, the company recognized $156 million goodwill impairment for its medium UAS business and a $34.1 million of accelerated intangible amortization following the closure of its associated COCO sites. The balance of the favorability can be attributed to a $10.1 million decrease in intangible amortization and other acquisition-related expenses, a $110.4 million increase in adjusted gross margin, a $5.1 million decrease in interest expense, a $0.8 million increase in equity-related investment income. These were partially offset by a $33.4 million increase in R&D spending, a $26.4 million increase in SG&A expenses excluding intangible amortization, $16.6 million increase in taxes and a $4 million increase in other losses, mostly related to unrealized losses in our equity investment portfolio.

It should be noted that our full-year tax rate ended up being approximately 3%. However, we expect our tax rate for FY '25 to increase in the range of 8% to 9%. In the fourth quarter, the company generated net income of $6 million versus a net loss of $160.5 million reported in the same period last year. Slide 11 shows a reconciliation of GAAP and adjusted or non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS. The company posted adjusted earnings per share -- diluted earnings per share of $2.99 for fiscal 2024 versus $1.26 per diluted share in fiscal 2023. Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 were $0.43 versus $0.99 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. Turning to the balance sheet. At the close of the fourth quarter, our total cash and investments amounted to $94.3 million compared to $129 million at the end of the third quarter.

Our total debt at the end of the fiscal 2024 was $28 million, as we paid down $107 million of the term loan facility during the course of the fiscal year. Looking forward to fiscal 2025, we expect working capital to remain at the current levels with some quarter-to-quarter fluctuations. Our expectation is we start to see some reductions in our unbilled receivables, as we enter into a new contract with the US Army. Our capital expenditure should remain in the low-single digits, around 5% of revenue. We continue to invest in new systems, facilities and manufacturing tooling and fixtures to support our growth. Overall, we expect significant increase in our free cash flow in FY '25. Now, I'd like to turn things back to Wahid.

Wahid Nawabi: Thanks, Kevin. With a strong fiscal year 2024 behind us, we're pleased to provide our guidance for fiscal year 2025 on Slide #7 as follows: we anticipate revenue between $790 million and $820 million; we forecast net income between $74 million to $83 million, or $2.61 to $2.92 per diluted share; non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of between $143 million and $153 million; and we expect R&D to be 12% to 13% of revenues. Our funded backlog at the end of fiscal year 2024 remained healthy at $400 million. As a result, visibility to the midpoint of our fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance range is at 55%. While this level of visibility is lower than recent years, it is important to note that our visibility reflects some uncertainty in the government contracting process.

Many additional awards have been announced by our customers, but are not yet included in our backlog, including more than $300 million in orders for our LMS business alone. We are confident in achieving our full-year guidance and we'll update our visibility accordingly in future quarters as these awards and other opportunities in our pipeline convert to orders and revenue. We expect first half revenue to represent almost 45% of the full fiscal year. Further, we expect Q1 revenue to account for approximately half of the first half revenues. We anticipate accelerating global demand for autonomous AI-enabled uncrewed solutions to drive continued growth across our business. Given our strong performance and execution, we remain confident that fiscal year 2025 will be yet another record-breaking fiscal year for AeroVironment.

We are uniquely positioned in this marketplace with decades of trusted experience, battle-tested solutions, an unparalleled installed base, best-in-class technology and unrivaled manufacturing capacity. We remain well-positioned to benefit from US DoD budget priorities as an industry leader and the original defense tech innovator. We have positioned the company for a healthy multi-year top-line growth, which lends itself to strong shareholder value creation. Our company is poised for significant growth that extends well beyond fiscal year 2025. Before turning the call over for questions, let me summarize the key takeaways from today's call. First, full-year revenue and profitability set new records, marking our seventh consecutive year of top-line growth.

Second, we delivered strong fourth-quarter performance and met or exceeded our financial expectations. Third, our Loitering Munitions Systems segment continues to be the key growth driver for the company and we anticipate demand for our Switchblade family of solutions to increase again in fiscal year 2025. And fourth, the fundamentals of our business are as strong as they have ever been, and we expect fiscal year 2025 to be yet another record-setting year for the company. I would like to thank the AeroVironment team for their dedication and hard work in helping our customers achieve their vital missions. Thank you to our shareholders for supporting our company, and most notably, thank you to our customers for entrusting us to serve you. We're honored to support our country and ally at this critical time and into the future.

And with that, Kevin, Jonah and I will now take your questions.

*** While we acknowledge the potential of AVAV as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AVAV but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock. ***

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