|Bid||0.000 x 1000|
|Ask||0.000 x 1100|
|Day's Range||34.240 - 39.400|
|52 Week Range||25.590 - 56.640|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.89%|
US markets (VOO) were surprisingly resilient for the week ending June 1 despite increased political uncertainty, Italy’s political drama, and renewed anxiety about trade tensions. US equity markets had a positive close in May. Tech and small caps leading the charge and this week’s price action will likely depend on how markets react to renewed trade tensions. Last week, the Trump Administration slapped tariffs on Europe, Canada, and China.
Global markets mostly fell last week (ended May 25) as political uncertainty kept investors at bay. Donald Trump calling off the North Korea summit and later saying that the summit could still happen, political disturbances in Spain and Italy, and volatile crude oil prices all dragged down equity indexes. US indexes (VOO), however, showed a reduction in concerns about higher rates after the Fed indicated at its May meeting that it is alright with inflation overshooting its 2% target in the short term.
In its meeting, the FOMC indicated that US financial market volatility had increased since its last meeting in March. Members felt that low-volatility (VXX) strategies had been less prevalent in February, leading to market turmoil. The May meeting minutes indicated that members felt that US financial conditions had somewhat tightened in the inter-meeting period but that they remained accommodative—a signal that members were comfortable with the further tightening of financial conditions.
The S&P 500 Index (SPY) continued its negative run with another lower close in April. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) uses the performance of the S&P 500 Index (VOO) as one of the constituents of the LEI. The inclusion of the S&P 500 performance in the Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) is supported by econometric evidence, as some economists would argue that the stock markets are not a true reflection of the state of the economy.
US equity indexes finished the week that ended on May 18 on a negative note despite reports indicating that US-China trade negotiations had resulted in China agreeing to reduce its trade surplus with the United States by $200 billion. In a joint statement released on May 19, the United States and China revealed that China would increase its imports of US products and that both sides would work to resolve their economic and trade concerns. Volatility in the equity markets (VOO) in the week, however, was influenced by higher bond yields and an appreciating US dollar, which were pushed higher by the increased economic divergence between the United States and other developed economies.
US equity indexes finished the week that ended May 11 on a positive note as equity market bulls took control of the proceedings. Given the muted response to the Iran nuclear deal pullout, we can expect a further fall in volatility this week.
Different people interpret the VIX different ways. For some, a low VIX and dropping volatility signal a good time to invest, basically seeing the overall volatility and worry come down in the market. For others, it is a sign of complacency. Both are right. When you look at last year’s low VIX persistent throughout the year, coupled with high returns of close to 20% for the S&P 500 (SPY) and close to 30% for the Nasdaq Comp (QQQ), one would conclude that lower VIX = better. But in January when the VIX bottomed below 9 before ballooning to over 50 in February, low VIX = worse. So which one?
The largest concern is the May 12 deadline for renewing the nuclear deal with Iran. This week, market volatility could be impacted by the inflation report and any developments surrounding the Iran nuclear deal.
The ADP March employment report was published on May 2. The report offered deeper insight into employment trends across different sectors in the US employment market. ADP and Moody’s Analytics prepared the monthly report.
The week ending April 27 was filled with many surprises, which were mainly positive. The US GDP and Employee Cost Index were higher than the expectations, which cleared the way for the Fed to continue tightening the policy. The US ten-year (IEF) broke 3% for the first time in four years. The US dollar recoupled with US bond yields and surged against all of the majors. Last week, North Korea and South Korea’s presidents met in person. Also, the US will initiate trade talks with China. Both of these developments were positive for the markets. ...
The S&P 500 Index (SPY) continued its negative run for a second consecutive month in March, as trade war fears and geopolitical tensions made investors risk-averse. The S&P 500 Index declined ~3.9% in February and ~2.7% in March, with these declines primarily being driven by increased trade tensions rather than any change in the underlying fundamentals. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) uses the performance of the S&P 500 Index (VOO) as one the constituents of the LEI.
Many risks that pushed stock market volatility higher in the last few weeks have started to retreat, which helped equity market indexes last week. President Trump paused further sanctions on Russia, and Trump’s planned meeting with Kim Jong Un after the latter said North Korea would end nuclear tests pushed a major geopolitical risk off the table for now. The risk of a flattening yield curve has also reversed as the US ten-year yield breached the February high on the back of renewed inflation expectations.
The primary reason cited by the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) for holding off on interest rate hikes since 2016 was lagging inflation growth. Whenever the Fed signaled rate hikes, the yield curve flattened since investors were not convinced that inflation (TIP) growth would pick up the pace, which would limit the Fed’s ability to raise rates. The Fed has set a target of 2% inflation (VTIP) growth, at which point the economy is expected to be running at a normal pace.
There are some reports that the US could press for more sanctions on Russia this week, which could increase the volatility in global indexes. Apart from geopolitical issues, President Trump’s legal issues and China’s trade issues could also keep investors away from the markets. Markets are hoping for a solid earnings season, which kicked off last week.
The FOMC staff review indicated that US financial markets have been turbulent since the last meeting, which resulted in increased equity market volatility (VXX) and lower equity (VOO) asset prices. The reason cited for the increased equity market volatility was the surprising uptick in average hourly earnings in the January employment report, which made investors concerned about higher inflation and the interest rate increase. ...
Did China Pacify Trade War Anxiety? The index was primarily impacted by the increasing worry about the trade war between the United States and China. Then on Thursday, the US administration suggested an additional $100 billion worth of tariffs on Chinese imports into the US, taking the total tariffs to $150 billion.
The trade war turmoil that rocked markets last week seemed to retreat on Tuesday after President Xi Jinping made a market-calming speech. In response, White House adviser Peter Navarro said that the doors were open for trade talks.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (or BEA), which is a part of the US Department of Commerce, releases a monthly report on personal income, disposable personal income, and personal consumption expenditures of US consumers. As per the latest report from the BEA, personal income increased by 0.4% in February, which was the same level of wage growth in January.
What Do these 10 Economic Indicators Signal for the US Economy? The Conference Board uses the average weekly unemployment claims as a constituent of its Leading Economic Index (or LEI). The level of employment in the economy is one key macroeconomic factor that influences monetary policy actions. An optimal level of employment is desirable for continued growth in the economy.
Tech stocks (XLK) sell off for the second-straight day as Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) lead markets lower. We break down all the market action. And Walmart (WMT) is becoming more popular with Democratic shoppers according to a new poll. Find out if it’s about “everyday low prices” or something more. Plus, don’t chuck that junk mail. We’ll tell you which direct marketer is sending $100 checks to lucky “residents.” Catch The Final Round at 3:55 ET p.m. with Yahoo Finance’s Myles Udland and editor-in-chief Andy Serwer.
The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) raised interest rates by 25 basis points, which turned out to be a non-event. The proposal of $50.0 billion in tariffs on Chinese imports—and the potential for China’s $3.0 billion in retaliatory tariffs—pushed wary investors away from risk assets as they feared escalation into a trade war. Unlike economic events, these political events are difficult to predict and could go either way in terms of tangible impact on the economy. When adding the unpredictable nature of President Trump’s decisions to the mix, markets should be prepared for higher volatility in the week ahead.
As I indicated in the conclusion of last week’s note, equity markets were vulnerable to further weakness based primarily on February’s selloff and the technical setup provided in the previous week. Not only did we witness a sharp pullback on escalating volume on all major equity exchanges on the week, but also the S&P 500 (^GSPC, SPY) closed exactly 10% off its record high while simultaneously setting up investors for that retest of the February lows the we have been expecting. It was an eventful week both politically and economically.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January on March 16. According to the report, the total number of job openings on the last day of January was 6.3 million, an impressive increase from the 5.6 million job openings seen in December, and the highest reading since the beginning of the survey in 2000. JOLTS data is collected through a monthly survey of job openings, number of new employees hired, number of employees who have quit or have been asked to leave, and other job separations.
Warren Buffett says he's in favor of Apple repurchasing shares, noting that buy-backs make more sense than Apple acquiring new companies.