Why can't the big guy's money man =Hunter be the next Federal Reserve Chairman ? Cmon man "Let's Go Brandon" !
g
When will the fed stop buying? the few board posters are correct to question why would anyone loan money with inflation at 4%. they should have stopped these purchases and very slowly allow rates to rise. every day they wait makes it worse. these inflationary pressures will cause many more serious issues and they will not be able to stop it if they wait too much longer. although Jerome is kinda bad Yellen is really bad its a good thing she is not the fed chairman.
C
Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) will retrace to 1.46 short term
t
Would it be possible for Hunter to take over for the big guy?
A
If the 10-year treasury stays at 1.6% (it is up from 0.6% to 1.6% in the past year), it will force the producer price index to expand far beyond the target of 2%. Far even beyond 4%. Heck, the PPI is already at 8.6%. It has been rising faster than in 1973. Most of the rise in the PPI was in the past 5 months. The 10-year is going to go beyond 2% and beyond 4%. It needs to. Otherwise, homes will be $10 million. M2 supply will set new records. Shipping costs will go through the roof to 10X of 2019. If the government raise taxes, this will also force companies to raise prices because they will need to maintain profit margins. Prices are headed skyhigh. The administration is making it far worse. They are already 9 months behind on slowing the debased currency and 9 months behind on allowing the rates to rise. Debasement is unsustainable.
g
The fed must have made a purchase to drive the rate down again. everyone needs to double their salary to pay for the fact that they are devaluing the currency so much. the fed is killing us. let the rate creep up stop the purchases already.
D
It the bond market waking up to we have a ton of inflation?
R
Google says cryptocurrencies are now worth 2.5 trillion USD. What would inflation look like without them soaking so much of the excess liquidity courtesy of the fed?
A
Wow, gold is up by $34 per oz today. This is after a rise from $1100 per oz a couple year back and now to $1760 per oz. Huge rises in gold and oil and delivery costs. Inflation is surge further. The consumer price index (CPI) rose more than 2X of its target. The CPI was supposed to be 0.2% or below (that would correspond to 2.4% annualized inflation), but instead the true result was 0.4% (that is 4.8% annualized inflation). Inflation is surging ahead, even in September when we were in the midst of the Delta Variant. Next month we will find out that in October it is rising even faster. Over the last 12 months, the CPI climbed by 5.4 percent. Tomorrow, Oct 14, the Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released, and if the PPI is above 6% year-over-year, that will confirm inflation is indeed skyrocketing out of control. Energy prices have been surging higher and the government is not able to give spending semblance of control. This is looking worse than in 1973-74. At least in 1973 and 1974, we had a few months slowdown with low inflation in between the over-target months. But now inflation is beyond target every quarter. The stock market stocks are losing breadth. Price of labor in rising, price of food is rising, and cost of rent is now rising (now that moratoriums on rentals are expiring). If corporate income taxes are increased that will be further fuel for inflation, since companies will need to raise prices in order to maintain their margins. The bond market and stock market are going to correct hard. We are definitely going to see a 50% drop in the stock markets.
t
LET'S GO BRANDON !!!!
C
Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) will not exeed 1.933 within mid term
N
I hope it goes to 5% and the whole system implode like it deserve.
A
Dow futures were down over 200 earlier. What happened? Evergrande didn’t default?
J
Tomorrow will be a good day for U.S. Stock market. Trust me. U.S. Treasury rates will continue to go up starting tomorrow.
M
Can't believer there are people still willing to loan at these rates!
J
Remember when they said this last summer when it hits 1.75% the **** will hit the fan? The fan speed got clicked to three.
L
Yields on the 10 year T-Note go up, and the dollar collapses, yields go down, and people abandon the dollar faster so it collapses... The USD is a failing bet unless the government balances the budget then generates a surplus to reduce their liabilities. The issue is, if they balance through tax increase, the economy in real terms contracts faster than current, the only way is to make government spending 1/10 of current. Until the 10 year T-Note is at 8% you're losing money buying these junk notes.
V
Please watch Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) it's back at 1.63% the level last seen in May 😉 It gives us strong signal that Investors buying bonds again since Fed starting tapering 😉 Last time when Yield went above 1.75% in March Nasdaq & Markets tumbled 😉 that didn't push UVXY that time 😉
t
Oil at $80.11 and some blown paintings at $500K -No Inflation--and the Big Guy says -CELEBRATE THAT !!
J
Because Mainland China's President Xi doesn't want to save China's big corporation bonds and therefore those global money supplies that used to invest in China's big corporation bonds will all flow back to U.S. Treasury bonds and makes U.S. Treasury bonds more attractive with cheaper interest bond rates.
Energy prices have been surging higher and the government is not able to give spending semblance of control. This is looking worse than in 1973-74. At least in 1973 and 1974, we had a few months slowdown with low inflation in between the over-target months. But now inflation is beyond target every quarter. The stock market stocks are losing breadth. Price of labor in rising, price of food is rising, and cost of rent is now rising (now that moratoriums on rentals are expiring). If corporate income taxes are increased that will be further fuel for inflation, since companies will need to raise prices in order to maintain their margins. The bond market and stock market are going to correct hard. We are definitely going to see a 50% drop in the stock markets.
U.S. Treasury rates will continue to go up starting tomorrow.