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Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights MetLife, American International, Prudential Financial, CNO Financial and Kemper

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – May 1, 2023 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses MetLife Inc. MET, American International Group Inc. AIG, Prudential Financial Inc. PRU, CNO Financial Group CNO and Kemper Corp. KMPR.

Industry: Insurance - Multiline

Link: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2087026/5-stocks-to-watch-from-the-thriving-multiline-insurance-industry

Product diversification helps Zacks Multiline Insurance industry players to lower concentration risk, ensure uninterrupted revenue generation and improve retention ratio. Better pricing, prudent underwriting, increased exposure, faster economic recovery on the receding impact of the pandemic and increased vaccinations should benefit MetLife Inc., American International Group Inc., Prudential Financial Inc., CNO Financial Group and Kemper Corp. Accelerated digitalization will help in the smooth functioning of the industry.

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The solid capital level of the multiline insurers will fuel merger and acquisition (M&A) activities. With one rate hike already this year and more to come in the future, investment income should improve further as insurers are beneficiaries of a rising rate environment.

About the Industry

The Zacks Multiline Insurance industry comprises companies that provide single insurance coverage, bundling automobile, homeowner, long-term care, life and health insurance to individuals and businesses. The insured pays a single premium and is covered for many things through a single contract.

These companies cover commercial and personal properties, automobiles, marine, livestock, aviation, personal accident, life, including permanent and term insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, workers’ compensation, annuity products, private mortgage insurance, et al. The industry participants also provide risk management services. Since the companies offer single insurance coverage for multiple products, customer retention improves. The insured stands to benefit from lower premium payment compared to paying individual premiums for insuring varied products.

3 Trends Shaping the Future of the Multiline Insurance Industry

Diversified portfolio lowers concentration risk: Given the nature of the business, multiline insurers’ product and service portfolios are diversified. This lowers concentration risk. Increased awareness, driving higher demand for protection products, should benefit sales and premiums for life insurance operations. Continued improvement in pricing and an increase in exposure should support premium growth.

Also, per Deloitte Insights, the transition to green energy and related insurance products, as well as exposure to intangible assets, offers growth opportunities. Per Deloitte Insights, life insurance premium is estimated to increase 1.9% in 2023 while non-life premiums are expected to increase 2.2%. The report also stated that trends like commercial lines witnessing growth at a faster pace than personal lines and homeowners’ premiums improving at a better rate than personal auto are likely to continue in 2023.

Merger and acquisitions: Consolidation in the multi-line insurance industry is expected to continue as players look to diversify their operations into new business lines and geographies. Buying businesses along the same lines is driven by the players’ need to gain a fair market share and grow in their niche areas. However, with high inflation and a rise in interest rate (the Fed has already made one rate hike this year), momentum in the M&A environment is likely to slow down. The first half of 2022 witnessed 427 deals per Deloitte.

Increased adoption of technology: Digitalization has increased by leaps and bounds, especially amid pandemic-induced restrictions. The industry is witnessing greater use of technology like blockchain, AI, advanced analytics, telematics, cloud computing and robotic process automation to expedite business operations and save costs.

Many life insurers have started selling policies online that appeal to the tech-savvy population. At the same time, the use of real-time data is making premium calculation easier and reducing risk. The P&C industry, in particular, also witnessed the emergence of insurtech — technology-led insurers — sparking competition for incumbent players.

Insurers remain focused on ramping up data and analytics capabilities as well as realizing the benefit of the technological infrastructure per Deloitte Insights. Moreover, the adoption of technology has helped in seamless underwriting and claims processing. However, the adoption of technology comes with the risk of cyber threats.

Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bright Prospects

The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates solid prospects in the near term. The Zacks Multiline Insurance industry, housed within the broader Zacks Finance sector, currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #115, which places it in the top 46% of 255 Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperforms the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

The industry’s positioning in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is the result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. The bright outlook reflects that the industry’s earnings estimates have been revised upward by analysts for the current year.

Before we present a few multiline insurance stocks that you may want to consider for your portfolio, let’s take a look at the industry’s recent stock-market performance and valuation picture.

Industry Underperforms Sector and S&P 500

The Multiline Insurance industry has underperformed both the Zacks S&P 500 composite and its sector over the past six months. The stocks in this industry have collectively lost 14.5% in the past year compared with the Finance sector’s decrease of 9.8%. The Zacks S&P 500 composite has declined 5.7% in the same time frame.

Current Valuation

On the basis of its trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B), which is commonly used for valuing insurance stocks, the industry is currently trading at 2.53X compared with the S&P 500’s 5.57X and the sector’s 3.22X.

Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 3.08X, as low as 0.84X and at the median of 1.6X.

5 Multiline Insurance Stocks to Keep an Eye On

We are presenting one Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock, one Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock and three Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stocks from the Multiline Insurance industry.

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

CNO Financial Group: Headquartered in Carmel, IN, CNO Financial is a top-tier holding company for a group of insurance companies operating throughout the United States, which develops, administers and markets supplemental health insurance, annuity, individual life insurance and other insurance products. Improved annuity premiums, higher direct-to-consumer life sales, a declining level of benefits and expenses, and a robust capital position augur well for the growth of this Zacks Rank #1 insurer. Strong Medicare supplement enrollment is a positive.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 and 2024 earnings implies a 20.2% and 2.9% year-over-year increase, respectively.  CNO delivered a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 14.15%.

Kemper: This Chicago, IL, headquartered Zacks Rank #2 company engages in the provision of insurance products to individuals and businesses in the United States. This diversified insurance holding company’s focus on underserved markets throughout the nation, cost structure optimization and market-leading underwriting capabilities poise it well for growth.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 and 2024 indicates a year-over-increase of 183.3% and 113%, respectively, and has risen 3.5% and 1.2% in the past 60 days.

American International Group: Headquartered in New York, this Zacks Rank #3 insurer provides insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. Strategic business de-risking and acquisitions, cost-control efforts, and accelerated capital deployment will drive American International’s growth.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 and 2024 indicates a year-over-increase of 35.4% and 20.8%, respectively.  The expected long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at 10%. AIG delivered a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 6.94%.

MetLife: This New York-based insurance-based global financial services company provides protection and investment products to a range of individual and institutional customers. MetLife’s focus on businesses with growth potential, and strategies to control cost and increase efficiency bode well for growth. MET carries a Zacks Rank #3.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 and 2024 indicates a year-over-increase of 20.2% and 10.2%, respectively. Its expected long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at 12.3%. MetLife delivered a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 12.07%. MET has VGM Score of B.

Prudential Financial: This Newark, NJ, headquartered Zacks Rank #3 company is a financial services leader with a leading position in universal, term and variable life insurance and an expanding Retirement business. Prudential Financial’s high-performing asset management business, deeper reach in the pension risk transfer market, improved margins and international operations bode well. PRU is rearranging its operations to become a higher-growth, less market-sensitive business.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 and 2024 indicates a year-over-increase of 27.8% and 5.6%, respectively. Its expected long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at 13%, better than the industry average of 12.6%.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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American International Group, Inc. (AIG) : Free Stock Analysis Report

CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO) : Free Stock Analysis Report

MetLife, Inc. (MET) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Kemper Corporation (KMPR) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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