Advertisement
Canada markets closed
  • S&P/TSX

    22,011.72
    +139.76 (+0.64%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,070.55
    +59.95 (+1.20%)
     
  • DOW

    38,503.69
    +263.71 (+0.69%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7321
    +0.0020 (+0.28%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.38
    +1.48 (+1.81%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    90,678.86
    -123.42 (-0.14%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,426.91
    +12.15 (+0.86%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,335.60
    -10.80 (-0.46%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    2,002.64
    +35.17 (+1.79%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5980
    -0.0250 (-0.54%)
     
  • NASDAQ futures

    17,662.25
    +312.25 (+1.80%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    15.69
    -1.25 (-7.38%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,044.81
    +20.94 (+0.26%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,552.16
    +113.55 (+0.30%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6836
    -0.0014 (-0.20%)
     

We're Not Very Worried About Great Bear Resources's (CVE:GBR) Cash Burn Rate

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. By way of example, Great Bear Resources (CVE:GBR) has seen its share price rise 380% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Great Bear Resources shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Great Bear Resources

Does Great Bear Resources Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Great Bear Resources last reported its balance sheet in December 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth CA$30m. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$15m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.0 years from December 2019. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

TSXV:GBR Historical Debt May 11th 2020
TSXV:GBR Historical Debt May 11th 2020

How Is Great Bear Resources's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Because Great Bear Resources isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. In fact, it ramped its spending strongly over the last year, increasing cash burn by 200%. It's fair to say that sort of rate of increase cannot be maintained for very long, without putting pressure on the balance sheet. Great Bear Resources makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Great Bear Resources Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Great Bear Resources shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash to drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

ADVERTISEMENT

Great Bear Resources's cash burn of CA$15m is about 2.9% of its CA$531m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is Great Bear Resources's Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Great Bear Resources's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 3 warning signs for Great Bear Resources that investors should know when investing in the stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.