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Want Better Returns? Don't Ignore These 2 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Set to Beat Earnings

Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.

We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate. The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction.

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Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Trip.com (TCOM) earns a Zacks Rank #1 right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.29 a share, just 12 days from its upcoming earnings release on June 7, 2023.

Trip.com's Earnings ESP sits at 9.43%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $0.29 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27.

TCOM is one of just a large database of Consumer Discretionary stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Deckers (DECK).

Deckers is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on July 27, 2023. DECK's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $2.12 a share 62 days from its next earnings release.

For Deckers, the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.05 is 3.42%.

Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, TCOM and DECK could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Trip.com Group Limited Sponsored ADR (TCOM) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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Zacks Investment Research