- By GF Value
The stock of W.P. Carey (NYSE:WPC, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $75.14 per share and the market cap of $13.4 billion, W.P. Carey stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. GF Value for W.P. Carey is shown in the chart below.
Because W.P. Carey is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth.
Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. W.P. Carey has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.04, which ranks worse than 66% of the companies in REITs industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks W.P. Carey's financial strength as 3 out of 10, suggesting poor balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of W.P. Carey over the past years:
It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. W.P. Carey has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $1.2 billion and earnings of $2.51 a share. Its operating margin is 46.39%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of W.P. Carey at 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of W.P. Carey over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of W.P. Carey is -4.1%, which ranks worse than 73% of the companies in REITs industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is -2.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry.
Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, W.P. Carey's ROIC was 3.78, while its WACC came in at 5.22. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of W.P. Carey is shown below:
Overall, the stock of W.P. Carey (NYSE:WPC, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being fairly valued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. To learn more about W.P. Carey stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.