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Valero Energy (VLO) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know

Valero Energy (VLO) closed at $78.07 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.33% move from the prior day. The stock lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.75%.

Coming into today, shares of the oil refiner had lost 6.61% in the past month. In that same time, the Oils-Energy sector gained 2.47%, while the S&P 500 gained 2.91%.

Investors will be hoping for strength from VLO as it approaches its next earnings release, which is expected to be July 29, 2021. In that report, analysts expect VLO to post earnings of $0.82 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 165.6%. Our most recent consensus estimate is calling for quarterly revenue of $22.23 billion, up 113.79% from the year-ago period.

Looking at the full year, our Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of $1.36 per share and revenue of $92.57 billion. These totals would mark changes of +143.59% and +42.62%, respectively, from last year.

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Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for VLO. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the company's business outlook.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 1.87% higher. VLO is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

In terms of valuation, VLO is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 57.14. This valuation marks a premium compared to its industry's average Forward P/E of 30.79.

Investors should also note that VLO has a PEG ratio of 10.42 right now. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry currently had an average PEG ratio of 3.01 as of yesterday's close.

The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is part of the Oils-Energy sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 171, which puts it in the bottom 33% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our individual industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Be sure to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and many more, on Zacks.com.


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