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Target Price Raised on Capital One Financial

A Capital One Walmart credit card sign is seen at a store in Mountain View, California, United States on Tuesday, November 19, 2019. (Photo by Yichuan Cao/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
A Capital One Walmart credit card sign is seen at a store in Mountain View, California, United States on Tuesday, November 19, 2019. (Photo by Yichuan Cao/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
  • Capital One Financial (COF) shares jumped over 4% on January 22 following strong 4Q earnings of $2.49 per share, well above the $2.28 consensus. Average loans grew 8% in 4Q19, up from 4% in 3Q19. The net interest margin also expanded on a better lending mix.

  • Credit quality, often a large swing factor in earnings, remained strong, with net charge-offs of 2.60% of average loans in 4Q, which is lower than we'd expect at this point in the credit cycle.

  • In what we view as a substantial new growth opportunity, Walmart and Capital One began a long-term credit card program in mid-2019 in which COF will be the exclusive issuer of Walmart's private-label and co-branded credit cards in the U.S. COF also acquired Walmart's $9 billion credit card portfolio from Synchrony in 4Q19.

  • We continue to view operating trends as healthy, including good growth in domestic credit card lending and purchase volumes, increased commercial lending, and continued solid credit quality, and maintained a BUY on the COF shares. Our target price was raised to $119 (from $106), implying a multiple of only 10-times our 2020 estimate.

This excerpt was brought to you by Argus Research using the Research Reports feature available through Yahoo Finance Premium. Click here to start your free trial* and step up your investing. Yahoo Finance Premium members can read more technical analyst views by going to Research Reports and filtering by Technical Analysis.

Argus President John Eade will be presenting at two events at the MoneyShow Orlando on February 7 and 8. Featured events include The Argus Research Market/Economic Outlook and Favored Stocks for the Year Ahead, and a discussion of Argus Dividend Growers Portfolio. Register to attend today.
Argus President John Eade will be presenting at two events at the MoneyShow Orlando on February 7 and 8. Featured events include The Argus Research Market/Economic Outlook and Favored Stocks for the Year Ahead, and a discussion of Argus Dividend Growers Portfolio. Register to attend today.