Here’s the simple reason that oil prices need to plunge: Strategist

Oil (NYSE: WTI) is hitting its highest levels in nearly six months, but some worry that fundamental factors could drag the commodity right back down.

"Supply and demand are way out of balance, and if you look at stockpiling, we are floating in oil right now," Gina Sanchez of Chantico Global said Thursday on CNBC's " Trading Nation ."

Even with summer bringing a potential increase in demand, Sanchez maintains that the market dynamics demand lower prices.

"We're about to go into driving season in the United States. This is the big time for [oil demand]," she said. "You're getting more enthusiasm in the markets and that's been holding oil up, along with the concept of the price freeze. But when we get out of the driving season come August or September, you're still going to see that we're going to be floating in oil, and oil is going to be way too high."

A weakening dollar has also supported rising oil prices of late.

Some traders, meanwhile, believe that the worst is over for oil and energy stocks.

"[The XLE energy ETF (NYSE Arca: XLE)is almost 40 percent up since January], which is more than double what the S&P has done since that time," Instinet senior equity trader Frank Cappelleri said Thursday on "Trading Nation." "So I think the short-term risks are really there, but at the same time, over the last year, both crude oil and the XLE have been putting in a bottoming process dating back to last August."

"This has allowed the XLE to form some bullish formations along the way and also push above the 20-month [downtrend] line, which could suggest that the trend is turning from negative to positive going forward," he added.

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