Q1 2023 Cousins Properties Inc Earnings Call

Participants

Gregg D. Adzema; Executive VP & CFO; Cousins Properties Incorporated

Michael Colin Connolly; President, CEO & Director; Cousins Properties Incorporated

Pamela F. Roper; Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary; Cousins Properties Incorporated

Richard G. Hickson; EVP of Operations; Cousins Properties Incorporated

Anthony Franklin Powell; Research Analyst; Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division

Blaine Matthew Heck; Senior Equity Analyst; Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Camille Bonnel

Dylan Burzinski

Jay Poskitt

John P. Kim; Senior U.S. Real Estate Analyst; BMO Capital Markets Equity Research

Peter Abramowitz

Unidentified Analyst

Presentation

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Cousins Properties First Quarter Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please note that this event is being recorded.
I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Pamela Roper, General Counsel. Please go ahead.

Pamela F. Roper

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to Cousins Properties First Quarter Earnings Conference Call.
With me today are Colin Connolly, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Richard Hickson, our Executive Vice President of Operations; and Gregg Adzema, our Chief Financial Officer.
The press release and supplemental package were distributed yesterday afternoon as well as furnished on Form 8-K. In the supplemental package, the company has reconciled all non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in accordance with Reg G requirements. If you did not receive a copy, these documents are available through the quarterly disclosures and supplemental SEC information links on the Investor Relations page of our website, www.cousins.com.
Please be aware that certain matters discussed today may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws, and actual results may differ materially from these statements due to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors, including the risk factors set forth in our annual report on Form 10-K and our other SEC filings.
The company does not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The full declaration regarding forward-looking statements is available in the supplemental package posted yesterday, and a detailed discussion of some potential risks is contained in our filings with the SEC.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Colin Connolly.

Michael Colin Connolly

Thank you, Pam, and good morning, everyone. We had a solid first quarter at Cousins and a productive start to 2023. On the earnings front, the team delivered $0.65 per share in FFO and same-property net operating income increased 4.9% on a cash basis. We leased 258,000 square feet during the quarter, with a 6.1% cash rent roll-up. New leases and expansions totaled 159,000 square feet. And our renewals were modest, as we have minimal near-term lease expirations. Overall, these are positive results in a tough economy.
Over 10 years ago, Cousins set out to build the premier Sun Belt Trophy REIT, while maintaining a fortress balance sheet. Our unique and compelling strategy has been supported by two powerful secular trends, a migration to the Sun Belt and the flight to quality. We aggressively positioned the company around these tailwinds. In just the last 5 years, we sold approximately $1.3 billion of predominantly older vintage properties and reinvested the proceeds in trophy acquisitions and attractive new developments.
In addition, we completed a transformational merger with TIER REIT that expanded the portfolio and enhanced our geographic diversification. As a result, Cousins now owns a premier portfolio located in the best submarkets across the Sun Belt.
Importantly, our portfolio is among the newest across the office sector with among the lowest near-term lease expirations. In addition, our balance sheet is among the strongest in the office sector, with a net debt-to-EBITDA at 5.1x, with ample liquidity and no significant debt maturities until July of 2025.
Now I'll touch on the macro environment. First, to fight inflation, the Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world have rapidly raised interest rates to slow economic growth. Financial conditions have tightened. The real estate capital markets have dislocated. Companies are becoming more efficient. In some cases, this includes employing fewer people and reducing office space.
Second, we are seeing an increase in office utilization. Our growing parking income highlights this trend. As the health crisis fades and financial pressures grow, CEOs are increasingly focused on results. Rebuilding culture, collaboration, communication, efficiency and mentoring are now clearly priorities for innovative companies. The return to office has accelerated and is likely to continue. Amazon and Meta, both early supporters of remote work, have recently reversed course. These announcements are a really big deal. Many more will follow.
Third, there is little to no leasing demand or capital availability for older vintage, lower-quality office properties. As a result, the values of these properties will likely reprice to facilitate a repurposing or even a teardown. This process has begun. It will take time to play out. And in the interim, these buildings will likely stagnate and have a reduced impact on the overall office market.
Lastly, the pipeline for speculative new development projects is rapidly shrinking. So what are the implications for the overall office market? In the short term, leasing demand is likely to soften. Expanding office footprints is challenging amid shrinking head count.
But more specifically, what are the implications for Cousins? Silver linings are taking shape for our Sun Belt Trophy portfolio. Our customers are returning in greater force. Accelerated obsolescence is reducing the competition. New development is minimal, and demand remains firmly focused on the best properties in the best submarkets.
In addition, customers are increasingly focused on identifying properties with sound capital structures that can fund leasing costs. We call this the flight to capital. The market is rebalancing. Premier properties will fill up in time, while undesirable properties are emptying. The office is not dead, rather obsolete office is death. The market underappreciates this.
Importantly, the flight to quality and the emerging flight to capital trends are providing a boost to our leasing efforts at Cousins. Our late-stage pipeline is now over 700,000 square feet, with broad representation across markets, including in Nashville at our Neuhoff project and industries, including technology.
The quality of our portfolio and the strength of our balance sheet provide a clear edge in today's leasing market. When the competition is upside down with debt, we plan to move quickly, be aggressive and grow market share. And if necessary, we will prioritize increasing occupancy over pushing rental rates. Now is the time to press our advantage and grow cash flow.
In closing, we are mindful of the potential impact of higher interest rates and a slowing economy. However, we build Cousins to thrive during all phases of the economic cycle. Over the long term, we are optimistic that investors will differentiate premier office from traditional office and recognize a new asset class with much improved sentiment.
Cousins is in a strong position. We are in the right Sun Belt markets. We own a trophy portfolio with modest near-term lease expirations. We have a fortress balance sheet with minimal near-term debt maturities. Importantly, we have significant liquidity and capacity to pursue compelling new investments in a dislocated market when many peers now lack the capital to compete.
However, the downward repricing of assets in the private market is still playing out. Thus, we remain patient, disciplined and continue to prioritize our strong balance sheet. But we are watching closely, though, and we will be ready.
Before turning the call over to Richard, I want to thank our employees at Cousins who provide excellent service to our customers. Their dedication, resilience and hard work continues to propel us forward. Richard?

Richard G. Hickson

Thanks, Colin. Good morning, everyone. Our operations team, once again, delivered solid quarterly results. As Colin mentioned, companies are now broadly bringing employees back to the office for three or more days per week. We are seeing the impact of this most noticeably in the 17% and 6% increases in our first quarter parking revenue on a year-over-year and sequential basis, respectively.
Before reviewing results, I want to take a moment to provide more color on the bankruptcy of SVB Financial Group, the entity on our 205,000 square foot lease at Hayden Ferry in Phoenix that expires in January of 2026. That entity is a parent company that no longer owns SVB Bank, but still owns other nonbank subsidiaries. However, the actual user of our space was SVB Bank, which is now owned by First Citizens Bank. We are in contact with SVB Financial Group, the legacy SVB Bank and First Citizens.
With that said, it is still too early in the process to have a clear view of the outcome with our lease. To the extent, we do get space back from SVB, Hayden Ferry is an iconic office project in Phoenix that even before this bankruptcy had a significant reinvestment project plan. And SVB's in-place rent is below market.
Further, we have already received multiple inquiries from potential new customers about whether SVB space will come available.
On to operating results. First, there were no portfolio composition changes in the first quarter. Our total office portfolio weighted average occupancy and end-of-period lease percentages were 87.2% and 90.8%, respectively, with occupancy up slightly relative to last quarter.
In the first quarter, we executed 29 office leases totaling 258,000 square feet, with a weighted average lease term of 7 years. The lighter volume was in line with our expectations given we have very low expirations, only 9% of annual rent in total through the end of 2024. When looking at only new and expansion leasing volume of 159,000 square feet in the operating portfolio in the quarter, which was 62% of our total activity, that volume was higher than both the first quarter average over the past 5 years and the first quarter of 2019 as a pre-pandemic proxy.
On the topic of expansions, as with the full year 2022, this quarter, we saw expansions outpaced contractions on a square footage basis.
Average net rent was strong this quarter at $34.45, and leasing concessions, defined as the sum of free rent and tenant improvements, were 5% higher than in the full year of 2022 at $8.36 per square foot per year. As we have been saying for a while, upward pressure in tenant improvement allowances and free rent is likely to continue for the foreseeable future. Despite that, our average net effective rent in the first quarter was in line with what we delivered for the full year 2022.
Healthy second-generation net rent growth also continued in the first quarter, coming in at 6.1% on a cash basis. These are encouraging operating results to begin the year. Year-to-date, we have also seen a ramp-up in our late-stage leasing pipeline, which consists of leases in negotiation to over 700,000 square feet. This is more than double what it was this time last quarter and is broad-based in terms of market and industry representation, including activity from the technology sector. Almost (technical difficulty) Please keep in mind that the time lag between lease signature and commencement is typically at least 2 quarters. So the full impact from this new and expansion leasing activity will begin to materialize in 2024.
Colin mentioned this, and I also want to reiterate, that we are increasingly seeing activity gravitate to our assets not only because of quality, but also because prospects are actively seeking out ownership that can demonstrate financial stability. We see a flight to capital trend emerging that is in addition to the already powerful flight to quality trend.
As a quick reminder, the renewal of our largest 2023 expiring customer and about 120,000 square feet in Buckhead is still in lease negotiations and is on track. With that anticipated renewal of our largest 2023 expiration and minimal expirations otherwise, we still see a reasonable path toward maintaining occupancy and even building occupancy similar to this quarter through the end of the year, excluding any potential impact from SVB at Hayden Ferry.
Moving to market-level dynamics. Job growth in the Sun Belt continues to outpace other areas of the country. And according to the Wall Street Journal and Moody's Analytics, Nashville topped the list of 2022's hottest job markets, followed by Austin. In Nashville, we are a 50% partner in the dynamic new hub mixed-use new development that includes approximately 450,000 square feet of office and 540 multifamily units.
I'm excited to say that we now have just under 50,000 square feet of office leases in negotiation at Neuhoff, with an additional 150,000 square feet of active proposals out where we have been shortlisted. We are very pleased with our competitive position at Neuhoff and encouraged by the growing excitement around the project as it gets closer to completion.
In Austin, which has the strongest labor force participation rate among large metro areas, we signed approximately 20,000 square feet of leases in the first quarter, which is clearly lower than typical for that portfolio. As I noted last quarter, at 94.5% leased with no material near-term expirations and also 100% leased in the domain with 6.1 years of weighted average lease term, our Austin portfolio is well positioned to weather macroeconomic challenges. In addition, I'm pleased to report that our late-stage leasing pipeline in Austin include some very positive activity.
In Atlanta, CBRE notes that leasing activities surpassed the prior quarter, with 1.8 million square feet of transactions signed, a 30% increase quarter-over-quarter. In our portfolio, we signed approximately 211,000 square feet of leases in Atlanta this quarter across all of our submarkets. Included in that is a long-term new lease with Deloitte for 95,000 square feet at Promenade Tower. Deloitte will be leaving downtown Atlanta after many years to join other prominent new customers like Visa, Edelman and Kimley-Horn at our newly renovated Promenade campus in the heart of a much more vibrant Midtown submarket.
Finally, we thought it would be helpful to share some insight into the nature of the technology customers in our portfolio. About 26% of our portfolio aggregate rent comes from the technology sector. Of that, about 22% are publicly traded companies with an equity market cap over $1 billion, and more than half of those are mega cap players like Amazon and Meta. About 3.5% are either smaller publicly traded companies or private, well-capitalized companies backed by highly respected investors, such as Vista Equity Partners and Hellman & Friedman. That leaves less than 1% that are smaller private companies.
However, that population of customers boasts an average operating history of almost 20 years. Not surprisingly, the rent profile of our Trophy quality buildings as well as our credit standards generally limit exposure to early-stage start-up companies.
Before handing off to Gregg, I want to thank our talented operations team. Many of us were together earlier this month for a management retreat in Tampa. And I can say firsthand how energizing it was to collaborate in person with teammates from across the country. Gregg?

Gregg D. Adzema

Thanks, Richard, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin my remarks by providing a brief overview of our results as well as some details on our same-property performance. Then, I'll move on to our capital markets activity and our development pipeline, followed by a quick discussion of our balance sheet, before closing my remarks with an update to our earnings outlook for 2023.
Overall, as Colin stated upfront, our first quarter earnings were solid, and the economics behind them were encouraging. Second-generation leasing spreads were up and same-property year-over-year cash NOI was positive.
Focusing on same-property performance for a moment, we added five buildings to our same-property pool during the first quarter, and that pool now comprises over 92% of our total NOI. The new properties have an average age of only 3.5 years and average gross rents of almost $60 per square foot. With these additions, we continue to improve the quality of our core office portfolio.
Looking at the numbers. Same-property GAAP NOI increased 5.3% and cash NOI increased 4.9% during the first quarter compared to last year. This continues a string of improvements that began in early 2022, with the most recent quarterly gains largely driven by occupancy at Buckhead Plaza and Domain 2 as well as higher parking revenues.
Turning to our capital markets activity. Subsequent to quarter end, we executed a loan application for MOB in Midtown Atlanta. This is the refinancing of an asset that we own in a 50-50 joint venture with Emory University. The new debt will increase total loan proceeds from $62 million to $83 million and lock in a fixed 4.8% coupon for 9 years. We anticipate closing prior to the maturity of the existing debt, which is on June 1. This is our only debt maturity in 2023.
Looking at 2024 and beyond, our debt maturity schedule has 3 pieces of debt with extension options. First, we have a $350 million term loan, with an initial maturity in August of 2024 that has four 6-month extension options. Second, we have a $400 million term loan, with an initial maturity in March of '25 that also has 4 6-month extension options. And third, our Neuhoff construction loan has an initial maturity in September of '25 and has a single 1-year extension option. When taking these three extensions into account, our next significant debt maturity is not until July of 2025.
Our debt maturity schedule is laid out, including all the extension options I just discussed on Page 28 of our earnings supplement.
Before moving on, I also wanted to discuss a floating to fixed interest rate -- excuse me, interest rate swap we entered into subsequent to quarter end on $200 million of our $400 million term loan, fixing the daily SOFR rate at 4.298% through maturity. Adjusting for this swap, floating rate debt will comprise approximately 17% of our total debt, which is in line with our long-term average and our goal of approximately 20%.
Turning to our development efforts. Our current development pipeline is comprised of a 50% interest in Neuhoff in Nashville and 100% of Domain 9 in Austin. Our share of the remaining development costs is $128 million, $90 million of which will be funded by our Neuhoff construction loan, leaving only $38 million to be funded by our operating cash flow over the next couple of years as these projects are completed.
Looking at our balance sheet, net debt to EBITDA is an industry-leading 5.1x. Our liquidity position remains strong, and our dividend is well covered, with an FAD payout ratio of only 64% during the first quarter.
I'll close by updating our 2023 earnings guidance. We currently anticipate full year 2023 FFO between $2.55 and $2.65 per share, with a midpoint of $2.60 per share. This is up from our previous midpoint of $2.58 per share. No property acquisitions, property dispositions or development starts are included in this guidance. There's also no impact from our SVB lease included in this guidance. We filed an 8-K with the SEC on March 15 that laid out the details of this space.
As a quick reminder, the SVB lease generates approximately $700,000 per month in GAAP revenues. And as of March 31, we had approximately $2 million of net assets on our balance sheet attributable to this lease, primarily related to rent on a straight-line basis. The balance sheet number declined a little over $100,000 per month.
As of today, SVB is current on the financial applications of their lease. They've already paid May rent in full and they have not rejected their lease under bankruptcy. With this fact pattern, we continue to record revenue on a straight-line basis without any reserves.
Looking forward, if collection under the lease no longer remains probable, we will adjust our accounting accordingly. However, as Richard discussed in his previous remarks, it remains too early in the process for us to make a clear assessment. That being said, what we do know is that SVB Bank employees, who are now First Citizens Bank employees, are actively using some portion of the space.
If our lease with SVB is rejected at some future date, we will be treated as an unsecured creditor. Currently, SVB unsecured bonds are trading around $0.60 on the dollar, so there is likely value to our position even if the lease is rejected.
Finally, depending on the ultimate outcome with SVB, we may end up taking all or a portion of our Hayden Ferry 1 building off-line for a significant repositioning effort, much like we did when Norfolk Southern moved out of what we now call Promenade Central here in Atlanta. Rest assured, as we receive new information, we will update you promptly, consistent with what we did in March.
I'd like to close by discussing the two primary components driving our increased FFO guidance for 2023. The first component is unbudgeted termination fees during the balance of the year. The largest of these is at our 100 Mill property in Phoenix, where we proactively approached an existing 30,000 square foot customer and worked a deal to replace them with a new customer. The increase to our guidance on this issue takes into account the termination fee that will be paid netted against any downtime as well as any GAAP accounting adjustments.
The second component is higher than budgeted parking income, driven by continued return to the office as both Colin and Richard discussed earlier. Bottom line, despite a volatile and challenging macroeconomic environment, our first quarter results were solid. Our strong leverage and liquidity position remains intact, and we are raising FFO guidance.
With that, let me turn the call back over to the operator for your questions. Operator?

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) First question will be from Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo.

Blaine Matthew Heck

Colin, we talked about this a lot in recent conversations, but there's obviously been a lot of focus on debt maturities in the office sector and the wave of maturities that we're facing over the next few years.
Just wanted to get your view on how this all plays out? Are you expecting a significant amount of force or distressed transactions to emerge or not? And what's that mean for asset pricing in the office sector? And again, potential opportunities for you guys to invest?

Michael Colin Connolly

I think it's still a bit premature to see how this ultimately plays out. You're right, there are significant maturities in the -- over the next 3 years and particularly over the next kind of 12 to 24 months.
And I think in certain instances, you're going to see banks working with existing borrowers to try to find kind of orderly resolutions [that I think] a big trigger kind of inflection point are going to be assets that do need significant amount of new capital and where that new capital comes from. And I think that's going to create opportunities for folks like Cousins and others.
That being said, as you look across the Sun Belt Trophy landscape, those properties today are, again, the fundamentals and kind of premier Sun Belt properties is actually fairly solid. And many of those buildings do not have significant amount of leverage.
But I think ultimately, it's the overall market kind of works itself out with a significant increase in interest rates, asset prices have clearly moved. And even in the event that we don't see significant distress with the existing assets, we do think we're going to see some investors that have got kind of portfolio issues elsewhere and look to meet the market and move assets. And again, I think that will be another source of opportunity for us.
And then lastly, I think, we'll see it most acutely from a debt maturity perspective, kind of interesting opportunities for Cousins will be some of the new supply and construction loans for kind of nonstabilized assets. And I think that will -- we're starting to see some of that activity happen now and certainly over the next 12 months as those loans mature. Those loans will need to be rebalanced. And there'll be new capital that's required to lease those buildings.

Blaine Matthew Heck

Great. Very helpful color. Second question, just on same-store NOI. Results were very strong this quarter, almost 5%. I know you guys still aren't giving guidance, but can you give us any color on how we should think about that metric trending throughout the rest of the year? Or even some drivers that could push that number one way or the other as we think about the second, third and fourth quarters?

Gregg D. Adzema

Blaine, it's Gregg. So it was a solid number for the first quarter. And in terms of kind of what's moving it, I mean, you've seen some good movements on both revenues and expenses.
On the expense side, I mean, there are some pressures. There are some pressures on taxes. Municipalities are starting to raise assessments. And we appeal those like everybody else does, but there's definitely some pressure on taxes. There's also some pressure from just general inflation, particularly on the labor side. So you'll see that continue to push through the balance of the year.
And then finally, on the expense side, as we see companies bring their employees back to the office, net-net, that's very positive in many ways, not least of which is the parking revenues, we've talked about, which have kind of led to our increased guidance. But you will see some pressure on some operating expenses, cleaning utilities, because you just have more people on it.

Operator

The next question will be from Mr. Anthony Powell.

Anthony Franklin Powell

Just a question on Neuhoff, with the 200,000 square feet of leases in various stages of negotiation. What's the likely, I guess, path for income recognition from that project next year as you kind of ramp up? And how does that look relative to what you're expecting maybe 6 months or a year ago?

Michael Colin Connolly

Anthony, it's Colin. As Richard alluded to, we are now starting to see activity pick up considerably at Neuhoff. And we're very excited about where we stand. And I think -- as we look at income recognition, the 50,000-or-so square feet that we're in lease negotiations with, I think that those will have the possibility to kick in, in the early part of next year.
And then again, we're in process with another 150,000 square feet. We'll not make all of those, but we hope to get more than our fair share. And I think those will, from a commencement perspective or anywhere from kind of the middle of 2024, to, in some cases, even kind of end of the year or at the very beginning of 2025.
Overall, from the project, we continue to be on budget, on time. I think if there's one kind of aspect that as we look backwards that maybe we underappreciated was the size of the project and the adaptive reuse component of the project and made it a little bit more challenging for folks to get their arms around and understand it and really experience what Neuhoff is.
Now that we're getting closer to completing the project and it's taking shape, the response and the receptivity of this project in Nashville has been incredible. And so we're very excited about where we are. I think the lease-up might take us just a touch longer, but we feel very good about where the economics stand. And I think it's going to be a terrific outcome for Cousins.

Anthony Franklin Powell

Got it. And one more. I guess we're a few quarters into the tech layoffs. And I remember when these started, there was a debate about whether these layoffs would impact more of the headquarters in the West Coast or some of the other offices in the Sun Belt or if they'll be spread out.
I guess it may be hard for you to tell, but is there a way for you to monitor if similarly after Amazon and Meta, the one that have impacted your portfolio more than others or less than others? Or just maybe a broad overview there would be great.

Michael Colin Connolly

It's hard to be very specific because those aren't numbers that they disclose publicly. But I can tell you, we talk to our customers all the time. And again, I'll share with you the consistent feedback that we get from some of those large tech companies is that they were -- they made a strategic decision to grow in markets like Austin and Atlanta, Nashville and others.
And that was really based on a long-term objective to distribute their workforce more broadly across the country. And I think in particular, they've identified some cities that have really grown up and urbanized over the last 10-plus years, where they could attract kind of the best and the brightest and high-quality talent that's excited to live in those environments at a much cheaper cost.
And so we have not received any indication that they're looking to kind of unwind that strategic objective. If anything, our view over time that while there could be a short pause that, that will certainly continue and could grow.

Operator

The next question will be from Jay Poskitt of Evercore.

Jay Poskitt

Can we just touch on kind of your expectations for occupancy growth throughout the year? I know that on the previous call, you kind of talked for flat occupancy in the beginning of the year, and then a potential ramp in the back just based on what leasing conditions might be.
I'm just kind of curious how that view has changed? And what might change the macro environment, maybe the lease renewal in the fourth quarter? Just any color on that would be helpful.

Richard G. Hickson

Yes. This is Richard. Yes, I'd say short answer is our expectations really have not changed relative to the last quarter. So we still continue to feel like with the kind of minimal expirations during the year that we have combined with leases that have not yet commenced but will during the year, we have a reasonable path to just incrementally build hopefully, occupancy like we did this quarter throughout the end of the year.

Jay Poskitt

That's helpful. And then just one question as well. Can you provide an update on the bucket of the signed leases not yet commenced? I know last quarter, you said that had a weighted average commencement of the second quarter. So any color on that would be helpful.

Richard G. Hickson

Sure. So that number sitting here today is now about 480,000 square feet but it's still got a commencement in the second quarter on average.

Operator

Next question will be from John Kim of BMO Capital.

John P. Kim

I believe, Richard, you mentioned 700,000 square feet of leasing and the pipeline in negotiations. I was wondering if you could remind us what your typical closing rate is on leases and negotiation? And any market color you can provide? I know 50,000 of it is in Nashville, but just wanted to know if -- what the proportion was in other markets.

Richard G. Hickson

Sure. Yes. With regard to the closing rate, it's really high. I mean it's 95%-plus. Usually, when we have a lease that goes into documentation and legal, it's a solid transaction for us. So really high conversion rate there.
Timing can vary, but the conversion rate is good. With regard to just the kind of distribution of activity, Atlanta continues to be really strong. It has been for a while now. But again, the activity that we're seeing in our late-stage pipeline is really compelling in every single market. So it's very broad-based.

John P. Kim

And what do you attribute the increase in leasing discussions to? Some of your office peers have mentioned similar amount of activity picking up. But when you look at office utilization, it hasn't really increased that much and we're entering the recession. So I'm just wondering what your thoughts are on that. What do you hear from your clients?

Michael Colin Connolly

John, it's Colin. And again, it's a bit counterintuitive because, as you mentioned, we are in an economy that does to be -- does appear to be decelerating, which is typically not conducive to office real estate leasing.
But that being said, the couple of trends that we're seeing happen, again, utilization is picking up. It has not kind of gotten into full swing, and we expect that to happen over the remainder of the year. But we have seen some customers, again, as they called workers back and evaluated the folks that they've hired and remotely over the last 3 years looking around and recognizing that perhaps in counterintuitive, but that they don't have enough space.
And then, secondly, there's a couple of other powerful trends that we alluded to in our previous comments, which is this flight to quality and the flight to capital, and the lack of new supply that is commencing. And so we've had several folks reach out to us that we're focused on new construction that has now been shelved and are kind of looking around trying to find kind of the right quality real estate for them to make a decision.
And then, at the same time, we're seeing folks that are in buildings that have upside down capital structures, the flight to capital, and that's creating some demand. And then again, this flight to quality of folks that are in kind of lower quality space, bringing their people back and want to upgrade the experience.
So it's really been kind of a combination of all of those trends that are playing out now, notwithstanding kind of the overall softening economic climate.

John P. Kim

Okay. That's helpful. And just one more, if I may. It looks like the occupancy went down in Tempe Gateway this quarter. I know that's -- that assets in redevelopment, but I was wondering what that may be attributable to. And overall, it seems like you are seeing increased vacancy in Phoenix or maybe potentially some upcoming vacancy with First Citizens. I was wondering if you could discuss how you see that space leasing up.

Richard G. Hickson

Sure. So with regard to Tempe Gateway, we did have a smallish -- it can screen as a larger percentage, but a smallish in terms of square footage move out. Someone who was occupying some swing space. And so they've now moved into their permanent space. So that is what you're seeing there.
Just commentary kind of more broadly on Tempe Gateway. Its occupancy has floated down over the last 6 months plus, but that's bottomed at this point. There are really no more expirations at this point. We're, like you said, in the midst of a really exciting redevelopment there. And so very optimistic about our near-term future at Tempe Gateway and beginning the process of building back occupancy.
We do have some role coming up in -- notwithstanding whatever may happen with SVB and First Citizens at Hayden Ferry, but it's out in 2024. It's kind of early to see what ultimately is going to end up with those expirations. But again, we're also like we are with Tempe Gateway, moving forward with a really exciting repositioning and reinvestment in Hayden Ferry as well.
And so combine that with generally the activity in Phoenix over the last quarter or so picking up nicely and interest in Tempe in particular in our kind of Class AA assets there, we feel good about our position.

Operator

Next question will be from Dylan Burzinski of Green Street.

Dylan Burzinski

Colin, you mentioned that the downward pricing for office assets is still playing out and that you guys would remain patient in deploying capital. I guess can you give us a sense for what stabilized yield or unlevered IRR that you guys are sort of targeting? And when you might start to deploy that capital?

Michael Colin Connolly

Well, Dylan, I appreciate you joining us in the early hour on the West Coast. It -- look, it's hard to give a very specific number, one. I certainly don't want to -- I don't want to compromise our position in our discussions with potential sellers and counterparties.
But certainly, we recognize the environment we're in. We look at our own cost of capital today. We hope that pricing in the public markets has bottomed out, but that process is still underway, I think, in the private market. And so that process continues. And our hope over time, and you've certainly seen this in past cycles, that the cost of capital in the public market could converge with the cost of capital in the private market and create some really interesting opportunities.
But we're not there yet. And so like I said, ultimately, we think there are going to be attractive opportunities and kind of how we price this is going to be dependent and specific to kind of the opportunity in front of us, the risk profile, but certainly, with us looking at our own cost of capital is somewhat of a guidepost.

Dylan Burzinski

That's helpful. Appreciate the color there. And then I know over the last several years, the office leasing environment has led to higher concessions. But just curious what are your guys' expectations for base rents? Should we start to see that as a lever to sort of drive occupancy moving forward?

Michael Colin Connolly

Look, it is -- there's a lot of different competing forces in the market today. Again, from a macro perspective, a bit of a softening, decelerating economy. But again, I think as you look at the office sector, there's going to be clearly winners and losers.
There's going to be higher vacancy broad-based across markets. But again, I think a significant amount of that is going to be some structural vacancy in obsolete properties that, from a practical perspective, aren't going to impact the market. And so we do think the market is underappreciating the stability in premier properties.
But that being said, we haven't seen a recession in the past where you haven't seen some softening in face rents. And as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are focused at the moment on driving occupancy and driving cash flow. We think that's what is important to investors.
And we've got some competition that is upside down on debt, doesn't have capital. And so we are going to be aggressive in winning that business if it's there to be one. And again, with the goal of driving occupancy, but most importantly, driving cash flow.

Operator

The next question will be from Camille Bonnel, Bank of America.

Camille Bonnel

Cousins' limited upcoming lease expiries is very unique within the sector. Can you expand a bit more on the composition of this through 2024? Like which markets and/or industries do a majority of these lease expiries fall under?

Michael Colin Connolly

Camille, it's Colin. It -- when we look at over the balance of 2023 and 2024, expirations that are greater than 100,000 square feet, there's really just three of them across the entirety of the portfolio.
Richard touched on one here in Buckhead at 3348 Peachtree, with Georgia State University, their nighttime business school, and we continue to feel good that we're making progress to get that extended.
Looking out to next year, we've got about 105,000 square feet with a company by the name of Accruent at Domain 4, that we do think is a likely move-out. But at the same time, that property, if you're familiar with the Domain 4, is one of the oldest vintage low-rise buildings that sits directly on the heart of the retail in the Domain, and that we've identified as a longer-term vertical development project.
And so that not necessarily a bad outcome. And then Richard alluded to an expiration of about 113,000 square feet at Hayden Ferry 2, that we're still early in the process with that particular customer. It is a headquarters location. And so we're in the early discussions, but too early to tell how that will shake out if they move out, renew or renew for some part of the space.

Camille Bonnel

Okay. I appreciate the color there. And on the termination income factored into guidance, are you able to give a bit more detail on the timing around it?

Gregg D. Adzema

Camille, it's Gregg. We don't typically provide timing on term fees. Sometimes, it can be lumpy. Sometimes, it can be difficult to predict. So I'm not going to give you a quarter-by-quarter run of that, but -- I'm trying to say that it will be recognized over the final 9 months of the year, but not necessarily on a straight-line basis.

Camille Bonnel

Okay. And finally, your FAD payout ratio seems very healthy, and you've historically raised the dividend in the first quarter, but it looks like you've paused this year. Can you update us on how the Board is thinking about the dividend payout policy here?

Gregg D. Adzema

Sure. We have traditionally and this is -- we've said this many times in these calls. We've traditionally targeted 70% to 75% FAD payout ratios. And if you go back and look at the previous many years, we've been at the low end of that range, right around 70%.
It can be lumpy quarter-to-quarter because the biggest driver of FAD is typically second-generation CapEx, and second-generation CapEx is a little lumpy. So it was a little below 70% this quarter. But for the balance of the year, we anticipate it falling within that range.

Operator

And the next question will be from (inaudible) Research.

Unidentified Analyst

I just have one quick one. So WeWork is listed as one of your top tenants, with four properties occupied and about 1% of annualized rent. So WeWork discussed that it's assessing its real estate portfolio and may amend your exit leases, will negotiate rent reductions. So I was just wondering if you've been having any negotiations with WeWork at your properties?

Richard G. Hickson

[Ali,] This is Richard. Yes, like I think just about every domestic landlord that works with WeWork, we have been in discussions or engaged with WeWork with regard to the locations we have. There are only four -- they're about 1% of our revenue annually.
We have a lot of confidence in the quality of each of those locations. They're great locations for a flex office use. And so again, what ultimately happens with WeWork, we're optimistic and hopeful that they're able to manage through their current situation and come out the other side as a great management team and a rightsized and correctly capitalized company that can add value in this space going forward. And again, we feel good about the quality of the locations that we have.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question will be from Peter Abramowitz of Jefferies.

Peter Abramowitz

The comments you had about pressure on taxes. So could you just talk through kind of, I guess, how is the appraisal process impacting that? I know it is obviously a better quality than most portfolio, but even the best assets, I think, have declined in value over the last couple of years. So just want to hear some color on, I guess, what's impacting upward pressure on taxes because you could think it might be going the other way?

Gregg D. Adzema

Peter, it's Gregg. Oftentimes, these assessments that are done for commercial properties are looking at lagging data. And so there's a lag effect -- there's a lag effect shooting our houses, but there's certainly a lag effect when it comes to commercial properties since the valuation is based on cash flow when they needed to be reported before they can look at it.
So there's a bit of a lag built into that. At some point, as we get more transactions, that will help our arguments in terms of lower valuations. But as we sit here today, there haven't been much -- there haven't been many transactions and the NOI that they're looking at is typically in the rearview mirror.

Peter Abramowitz

Got it.

Michael Colin Connolly

Right. I am sure we will protest.

Gregg D. Adzema

Like I said in my prepared remarks, we and many others protest those. And oftentimes, we're successful, but it's -- and then I think it will be easier to do that next year. But this year, most of what we're talking about were, like I said, rearview mirror NOI numbers.

Peter Abramowitz

Right. Got you. Yes, I wasn't totally sure how the process works. So thanks for shining some light on that.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to Mr. Colin Connolly for closing remarks.

Michael Colin Connolly

Thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate your time and interest in Cousins, and we hope to see many of you at NAREIT in New York in June. Have a great weekend.

Operator

Thank you. Conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.